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December Weather


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#1
metfan4life

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What a PNA ridge on all the globals and ensembles. The Euro really pumps the west coast ridge.

Looks like we might getting into some very interesting weather coming up.
Anthony

#2
metfan4life

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EPO on the GFS reaches -7 deviation by mid December

Incredible cold
Anthony

#3
NYCSNOWMAN

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 metfan4life, on 29 November 2017 - 06:28 PM, said:

EPO on the GFS reaches -7 deviation by mid December

Incredible cold
Bring it on ..lets hope by that time we are tracking snow too
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
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#4
Mike_The_Golfer

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 metfan4life, on 29 November 2017 - 06:28 PM, said:

EPO on the GFS reaches -7 deviation by mid December

Incredible cold

If it verifies - and that always a big IF - hopefully it is short-lived.
You're only young once, but you have your whole life to be immature!

#5
metfan4life

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 Mike_The_Golfer, on 30 November 2017 - 10:04 AM, said:



If it verifies - and that always a big IF - hopefully it is short-lived.

Looks like the whole month will be cold starting next week thanks to the tanking AO and EPO.
Anthony

#6
metfan4life

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12z Gfs has a snowstorm for our whole area next Friday. Several inches on this run.

Alot of potential with this upcoming pattern.
Anthony

#7
carribeanpirate

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 metfan4life, on 30 November 2017 - 11:53 AM, said:

Looks like the whole month will be cold starting next week thanks to the tanking AO and EPO.

Average temp cold? Below average cold? Well below average?

#8
metfan4life

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 carribeanpirate, on 30 November 2017 - 12:27 PM, said:

Average temp cold?  Below average cold?  Well below average?

Below average cold here but well below average in the midwest.
Anthony

#9
TatamyPA

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 metfan4life, on 29 November 2017 - 04:55 PM, said:

What a PNA ridge on all the globals and ensembles. The Euro really pumps the west coast ridge.

Looks like we might getting into some very interesting weather coming up.

GEFS has less than half the amount of precip has shown by the OP on the snow threat - it's further to the south and east. CMC / Euro have nothing. There is some work yet to be done on this one.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#10
metfan4life

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 TatamyPA, on 30 November 2017 - 03:16 PM, said:



GEFS has less than half the amount of precip has shown by the OP on the snow threat - it's further to the south and east. CMC / Euro have nothing. There is some work yet to be done on this one.

Euro was very close

This threat is slim. This period is when the pattern change will take shape.
Anthony

#11
jimjesswill3

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I heard a few chances from the 11th-18th. With the best chances coming for N&W of the I95 corridor
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#12
TatamyPA

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 jimjesswill3, on 30 November 2017 - 04:57 PM, said:

I heard a few chances from the 11th-18th. With the best chances coming for N&W of the I95 corridor

Jimjess - would not count on any one outcome - this one is wide open.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
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#13
FreezingDrizzle

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Prolonged cool period if there is a major eruption of Mt. Agung?

https://www.accuweat...-years/70003412

Mt. Tambora caused a "year without summer" in 1816.
2017-2018 Frozen Precipitation Record

December 9, 2017 - 5.7 inches (low along offshore stationary front)
December 14, 2017 - 1.3 inches (clipper)
Total - 7.0 inches

#14
metfan4life

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Welcome to Met winter =)
Anthony

#15
satellite_eyes

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I wouldn't rule out something for next Fri/Sat. Cold air in place with a short wave digging down there could be a chance for something snow-wise. Then maybe an overrunning type event the Tues/Weds after that. Seems to be quite a bit moisture around particularly around the time that 2nd cold shot comes through. But this is just one model run to obviously things will change.
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Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#16
FreezingDrizzle

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I have the "s" word in the NWS forecast for this coming Wednesday night, first time this season. lol
2017-2018 Frozen Precipitation Record

December 9, 2017 - 5.7 inches (low along offshore stationary front)
December 14, 2017 - 1.3 inches (clipper)
Total - 7.0 inches

#17
Mike_The_Golfer

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Updated CPC outlook for December...


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You're only young once, but you have your whole life to be immature!

#18
OrangeCountyWeather06

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 satellite_eyes, on 01 December 2017 - 12:22 PM, said:

I wouldn't rule out something for next Fri/Sat. Cold air in place with a short wave digging down there could be a chance for something snow-wise. Then maybe an overrunning type event the Tues/Weds after that. Seems to be quite a bit moisture around particularly around the time that 2nd cold shot comes through. But this is just one model run to obviously things will change.

Been reading from posters on other sites that many believe something may be there next Fri/Sat. Even if it wasn’t that long ago many were trying to look as far as the end of the month of Dec to find any threats. The fact that they are popping up now even though it’s still very early is a good sign.
Cornwall NY

#19
metfan4life

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Euro has rain to snow for many as the front passes through with an inch or two in spots.

It's a great thing that storms are popping up on the models. This is going to be a cold December coming up.

Hope we get a few storms this month.
Anthony

#20
weathergeek87

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Stil getting used to living in the arctic aka Sussex County. That urban heat island is incredible.

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