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Winter 18-19 chat


9 replies to this topic

#1
satellite_eyes

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So it looks like a 65% chance of El Nino. No mention of strength.

https://www.msn.com/...ID=ansmsnnews11

I remember the strong 15-16 el nino. Very little snow up there. Also the storms out west were nowhere near what is normally predicted for an el nino.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#2
metfan4life

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Rather take a chance with EL Nino than a la niņa. Too early to say how strong it will be but a weak one would be great for the east coast

NYC received over 40 inches of snow in 2015 -2016.
Anthony

#3
satellite_eyes

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Yeh it seems like Nina's can be bi-polar. Much warmer at times and much colder at times. El Nino's are usually warmer but with a more active storm track.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#4
metfan4life

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I know it's way too early but this is a good article by my friend Ray Spinazola Jr. for this upcoming winter.

Looking more and more like an EL Nino winter might be on the way.

https://easternmassw...r-2018.html?m=1
Anthony

#5
metfan4life

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https://patch.com/ne...ntent=smithtown
Anthony

#6
robbbs

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View Postmetfan4life, on 22 June 2018 - 02:19 PM, said:


That's an ominous article.
rockburnweather.com
West Milford NJ

#7
nyrangers1022

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I'm going to say an average winter. Give or take a few degrees and few inches . Possible chance of a biG daddy. But also same chance of a dud winter

#8
metfan4life

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View Postnyrangers1022, on 22 June 2018 - 07:19 PM, said:

I'm going to say an average winter. Give or take a few degrees and few inches . Possible chance of a biG daddy. But also same chance of a dud winter

Safe bet lol
Anthony

#9
metfan4life

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Odds increase for a snowy winter if we do get a west based weak EL Nino but way too early to tell right now for the winter. What we do know is that an EL Nino looks likely moving forward.
Anthony

#10
Ehop

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I think we are going to have a cold spell, a few strange warm days, have several disappointing storms that appear on the model two days out. Anther decent storm that screws people. You know like every winter.





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