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Tracking Hurricane Florence


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#1
metfan4life

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Every computer model has Florence very close to our area ( just offshore )

Euro at 204 is a devastating scenario.

Storm rides north up the coast.

We are still far away. The path will be determine by the atlantic ridge and the strength.
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#2
metfan4life

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It is now a category 4
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#3
gpsnavigator

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View Postmetfan4life, on 05 September 2018 - 03:51 PM, said:

It is now a category 4
Impressive storm. TWC and Accuweather show some weakining in the coming days. But bears watching.
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#4
NYCSNOWMAN

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View Postgpsnavigator, on 05 September 2018 - 05:03 PM, said:


Impressive storm. TWC and Accuweather show some weakining in the coming days. But bears watching.
possible weakening but then maybe regain strength? Time will tell
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
Fleetwood, NY

#5
metfan4life

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View Postgpsnavigator, on 05 September 2018 - 05:03 PM, said:

Impressive storm. TWC and Accuweather show some weakining in the coming days. But bears watching.

That's what the models are doing until it gets near the coast and strengthens.
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#6
metfan4life

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GFS looks exactly like the Euro

Very bad for our area

Ways out there so no one get alarmed right now
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#7
Blizzard78

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18z GFS

Posted Image
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#8
nyrangers1022

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Call me old fashioned. But I'm going with the classic turn parallel to the east coast not effecting anyone. Just playing the numbers

#9
weatherbowl

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2 days ago the Euro and CMC had the storm near the east coast and the GFS had it out to sea. Then the GFS came closer to the coast and the Euro had it out to sea, the CMC still had it near the coast. Now they all have it near the coast. Who knows what tomorrow will bring. It looks like a high pressure to the north will be a very important determining factor on what Florence does in about a weeks time.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island

#10
weathergeek87

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One or two of the spaghetti plots have this thing doing a Sandy-like hook right into New Jersey!
Hamburg, NJ (Sussex County)

#11
metfan4life

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Sheer is taking a toll on the hurricane right now. The weaker it is the more west it will go because it will miss the trough.
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#12
satellite_eyes

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yikes on the latest GFS. Not good.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
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Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#13
metfan4life

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Euro is coming in with a NC hit and then crawls up the coast. Not good at all.
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#14
metfan4life

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Eps is right near the coast from the mid Atalntic to our area.
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#15
Mike_The_Golfer

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She's taken a beating today (winds down to 80mph), but still forecast to regain strength back to a major hurricane.
You're only young once, but you have your whole life to be immature!

#16
metfan4life

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Latest cone
https://www.nhc.noaa...ne_and_wind.png
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#17
metfan4life

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View PostMike_The_Golfer, on 06 September 2018 - 04:13 PM, said:

She's taken a beating today (winds down to 80mph), but still forecast to regain strength back to a major hurricane.

Bath water out there in the atlantic
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#18
metfan4life

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The media is starting to warn the public about this storm.
WINTER OF 2018-2019

11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"

Total : 5.5"

#19
robbbs

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View Postmetfan4life, on 06 September 2018 - 04:45 PM, said:

The media is starting to warn the public about this storm.

But a week out, Ant. This is a less reliable timeline for a tropical cyclone than even tracking a snow event. However, it's all good for discussion and speculation. We'll see.
rockburnweather.com
West Milford NJ

#20
NYCSNOWMAN

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Very interesting write up at 5pm from NHC, basically says Florence weakens further tonight but..as long as it retains circulation then by tomorrow should start strengthing then in a few days from there could regain major hurricane status. In terms of track ..still wayyyy to early to tell ....(My thoughts are that anyone on east coast should keep an eye on this system).
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
Fleetwood, NY





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