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NOVEMBER WEATHER


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#21
OrangeCountyWeather06

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View Postmetfan4life, on 05 November 2018 - 04:32 PM, said:



We have to watch a storm around the 14th but right now it's nothing to be concerned about.

I heard about this as well. Definitely something to watch.
Cornwall NY

#22
canisteerrd

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My forecast is calling for slight chance of rain and snow Thursday night, snow Friday morning changing to rain, then chance of rain and snow Friday night after midnight.
Elev: 1217'

2012-2013 total snow: 67.0"
2013- 2014 total snow: 67.0"
2014-2015 total snow: 71.1"
2015-2016 total snow: 31"
2016-2017 total snow 61"
2017-2018 total snow: 84"
2018-2019 snow to date: 40"
Lowest temp this season: -7.6° 1/31/19

#23
metfan4life

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Heavy rain

Another wet day
Anthony

#24
OrangeCountyWeather06

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Earlier GEFS has a signal for Interior burbs for a nice thump of snow in the middle of month (14th-16th) of course still early but has indicated around that timeframe for a chance.
Cornwall NY

#25
OrangeCountyWeather06

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GGEM/GFS show some moderate snowfall for interior burbs middle of next week. The signal is there.
Cornwall NY

#26
TatamyPA

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The trend on the models is for this to be mainly a rain event for most. If it is cold enough at the outset there could be some snow at the outset for those distant interior locations.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#27
weathergeek87

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View PostTatamyPA, on 07 November 2018 - 03:22 PM, said:

The trend on the models is for this to be mainly a rain event for most. If it is cold enough at the outset there could be some snow at the outset for those distant interior locations.

Are you talking about Friday? Or next Tuesday?
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#28
TatamyPA

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Tuesday. Friday’s précip type was not really in question.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#29
weathergeek87

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So close to snow up here.
35 and pouring rain at High Point
Snow looks like it's falling from about mid/northern Sullivan County NY and up into the Catskills.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#30
TatamyPA

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WG - Watch the 0z NAM run after 9pm- 18z run is weaker and further S and E than other models for early next week.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#31
canisteerrd

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Mod. rain here and 37°.
Up at our hunting cabin on the Sullivan/Delaware county border their getting snow right now. I'll be heading up there tomorrow morning at 5am.
Elev: 1217'

2012-2013 total snow: 67.0"
2013- 2014 total snow: 67.0"
2014-2015 total snow: 71.1"
2015-2016 total snow: 31"
2016-2017 total snow 61"
2017-2018 total snow: 84"
2018-2019 snow to date: 40"
Lowest temp this season: -7.6° 1/31/19

#32
weathergeek87

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View PostTatamyPA, on 09 November 2018 - 05:20 PM, said:

WG - Watch the 0z NAM run after 9pm- 18z run is weaker and further S and E than other models for early next week.

Tat - goes to show you how close we are especially N&W to early snows.

By the way, I work the overnight @ the hospital so I'm going to rely upon you to post what tonight's runs show!
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#33
TatamyPA

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What type of work do you do at the hospital? I will post outcome of the model run for you.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#34
canisteerrd

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36° with light rain. I'm assuming there's a warm layer somewhere up there.
Elev: 1217'

2012-2013 total snow: 67.0"
2013- 2014 total snow: 67.0"
2014-2015 total snow: 71.1"
2015-2016 total snow: 31"
2016-2017 total snow 61"
2017-2018 total snow: 84"
2018-2019 snow to date: 40"
Lowest temp this season: -7.6° 1/31/19

#35
TatamyPA

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View Postcanisteerrd, on 09 November 2018 - 06:33 PM, said:

36° with light rain. I'm assuming there's a warm layer somewhere up there.
What is your elevation?
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#36
TatamyPA

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0z NAM would bring snow to the Poconos and Catskills for early next week. Places to the north and west of a line from Pottsville PA to Port Jervis and Kingston NY would see a few inches of snow. Having said that it means 95% percent of us still see all rain. Furthermore this the NAM at the end of its range. It is also an eastern outlier as the other models have been keeping the snow to the north of a line from Scranton PA to Kingston NY. These other models have been very consistent with this outcome. Guys it’s not going to be our storm if you want snow.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#37
metfan4life

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View PostTatamyPA, on 09 November 2018 - 10:04 PM, said:

0z NAM would bring snow to the Poconos and Catskills for early next week. Places to the north and west of a line from Pottsville PA to Port Jervis and Kingston NY would see a few inches of snow. Having said that it means 95% percent of us still see all rain. Furthermore this the NAM at the end of its range. It is also an eastern outlier as the other models have been keeping the snow to the north of a line from Scranton PA to Kingston NY. These other models have been very consistent with this outcome. Guys it’s not going to be our storm if you want snow.

Too early for snow
Anthony

#38
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View Postmetfan4life, on 09 November 2018 - 11:28 PM, said:



Too early for snow
yes for city and coasties..by early December..Game on ..imo ..anything before then ..truly a bonus ..
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
Fleetwood, NY

#39
weathergeek87

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View PostTatamyPA, on 09 November 2018 - 05:56 PM, said:

What type of work do you do at the hospital? I will post outcome of the model run for you.

Thanks for the info.
I am a cardiac ICU nurse.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#40
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View Postweathergeek87, on 10 November 2018 - 06:03 AM, said:



Thanks for the info.
I am a cardiac ICU nurse.
My wife also works at a hospital. She is a Radiological Technologist.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly





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