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Thursday to Friday storm 1/17-18

Started by vascudave, Jan 15 2019 10:46 AM

43 replies to this topic

#1
vascudave
Posted 15 January 2019 - 10:46 AM

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Here

#2
weathergeek87
Posted 15 January 2019 - 01:40 PM

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Mt. Holly going with 2-3” and 4” higher elevations across NW NJ and Poconos. Less to S&E areas.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#3
canisteerrd
Posted 15 January 2019 - 06:12 PM

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4pm NWS update for me doesn't mention an inch amount. Just says snow likely, moderate snow accumulation. Currently 25°
Elev: 1217'

2012-2013 total snow: 67.0"
2013- 2014 total snow: 67.0"
2014-2015 total snow: 71.1"
2015-2016 total snow: 31"
2016-2017 total snow 61"
2017-2018 total snow: 84"
2018-2019 snow to date: 23.0"
Lowest temp this season: -7.6° 1/31/19

#4
TatamyPA
Posted 16 January 2019 - 09:43 AM

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I would go with a coating to an inch or two for the area for Thursday night and Friday morning based upon model consensus.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#5
weathergeek87
Posted 16 January 2019 - 12:43 PM

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View PostTatamyPA, on 16 January 2019 - 09:43 AM, said:

I would go with a coating to an inch or two for the area for Thursday night and Friday morning based upon model consensus.

Mt. Holly snowmap gives 2-3” for NW NJ with 4” at the highest elevations.

Tat - do you anticipate a brief warmup on Friday after this system pulls away?
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#6
weathergeek87
Posted 16 January 2019 - 12:44 PM

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View Postcanisteerrd, on 15 January 2019 - 06:12 PM, said:

4pm NWS update for me doesn't mention an inch amount. Just says snow likely, moderate snow accumulation. Currently 25°

They may be holding off until the 2pm update today
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#7
okterrific83
Posted 16 January 2019 - 04:20 PM

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What's the timing for tomorrow night? After midnight?

#8
TatamyPA
Posted 16 January 2019 - 08:39 PM

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View Postweathergeek87, on 16 January 2019 - 12:43 PM, said:



Mt. Holly snowmap gives 2-3” for NW NJ with 4” at the highest elevations.

Tat - do you anticipate a brief warmup on Friday after this system pulls away?
It will be slightly warmer Friday afternoon after this system pulls away however it will get colder again Friday night and Saturday.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#9
TatamyPA
Posted 16 January 2019 - 08:40 PM

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View Postokterrific83, on 16 January 2019 - 04:20 PM, said:

What's the timing for tomorrow night? After midnight?
What is your location?
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#10
TatamyPA
Posted 17 January 2019 - 11:05 AM

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Models continue to be relatively subdued with tonight’s event. Looks like a coating to 1-2” for most.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#11
canisteerrd
Posted 17 January 2019 - 06:41 PM

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NWS calling for 1" or so tonight. Definitely cold enough. 24° right now.
Elev: 1217'

2012-2013 total snow: 67.0"
2013- 2014 total snow: 67.0"
2014-2015 total snow: 71.1"
2015-2016 total snow: 31"
2016-2017 total snow 61"
2017-2018 total snow: 84"
2018-2019 snow to date: 23.0"
Lowest temp this season: -7.6° 1/31/19

#12
nyrangers1022
Posted 17 January 2019 - 07:27 PM

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Is it me, or does the 3k Nam and HRRR look very dry for tonight?

#13
TatamyPA
Posted 17 January 2019 - 07:34 PM

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View Postnyrangers1022, on 17 January 2019 - 07:27 PM, said:

Is it me, or does the 3k Nam and HRRR look very dry for tonight?
Models are not very excited with this system. Radar does not look too impressive either.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#14
TatamyPA
Posted 17 January 2019 - 07:53 PM

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Some light snow reaching the ground to the south and west of Reading PA with this system.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#15
lawnboy11
Posted 17 January 2019 - 08:22 PM

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Agreed, radar looks anemic unless the batch of precip in west va and west pa swings up this way and has something to add

#16
gpsnavigator
Posted 17 January 2019 - 08:53 PM

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Damn, I was routing for the one tonight and not so much for the weekend one.
-GPSNav
Home: Rockaway, NJ - Morris County -- Elevation 745 feet
Work: Newton, NJ - Sussex County -- Elevation 570 feet
Interests: weather, hiking, kayaking, math, science, current events, classic cars, and craft beer

#17
pmgav
Posted 17 January 2019 - 09:46 PM

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Light snow and 24 degrees.

#18
roughsurf
Posted 17 January 2019 - 10:08 PM

    Mark

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Light snow for past 45mins. Coating on everything so far

***********************************************

Winter 2015/2016


Washington Township -- Warren County, NW NJ

Snow Totals for 2015/2016 Winter
  • 12-28-15 ------> 1.0"
  • 01-15-16(?) ------> 1.0"
  • 01-16-16(?) ------> 0.5"
  • 01-28-16 ------> 26.5"
  • 02-10-16 ------> 2.0"
  • 02-11-16 ------> 0.25"
  • 02-12-16 ------> 0.25"
  • 02-16-16 ------> 3.50"
    ---------------------------------
    Total Snow ------> 35.0"

Totals for Past Winters

  • Winter 2015/2016 -- 31.00 - (so far)
  • Winter 2014/2015 -- 70.00
  • Winter 2013/2014 -- 78.50"
  • Winter 2010/2011 -- 69.50"
  • Winter 2009/2010 -- 73.25"
  • Winter 2008/2009 -- 40.50"
  • Winter 2007/2008 -- 30.25"

#19
TatamyPA
Posted 17 January 2019 - 10:22 PM

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Been getting some light snow here as well.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#20
OrangeCountyWeather06
Posted 17 January 2019 - 10:39 PM

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Not for nothing but I was at the supermarket earlier and the lines were ridiculously long. Many people were saying there was a big storm coming tonight lol. Part of me wanted to tell them tonight was going to be no more than inch but kindly minded my business lol. Media driven hype. I laugh to myself because these same people will come back on Saturday morning to buy the rest of the milk eggs and bread.
Cornwall NY
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