6z gfs cuts back snow totals , now not 1 model shows over 3 inches
#41
Posted 11 February 2019 - 09:05 AM

Butler, New Jersey
Visit My weatherstation
snowfall
18-19= 16.3 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32
Visit My weatherstation
snowfall
18-19= 16.3 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32
#42
Posted 11 February 2019 - 09:15 AM

#43
Posted 11 February 2019 - 09:16 AM

NYCSNOWMAN, on 11 February 2019 - 09:15 AM, said:
anyone know when model like HRR Rap can be used for this system?
Those models are garbage, always over do snow totals
Butler, New Jersey
Visit My weatherstation
snowfall
18-19= 16.3 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32
Visit My weatherstation
snowfall
18-19= 16.3 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32
#44
Posted 11 February 2019 - 09:32 AM

Based upon model trends and the expected speed of the transition I am going with 1-4” of snow and sleet across the area with the least amounts on LI and the greatest amounts in western and NW NJ. Snow starts early tomorrow and I am expecting a transition to sleet during tomorrow morning and then a change to rain near the coast and freezing rain inland as the day progresses.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly
#45
Posted 11 February 2019 - 11:46 AM

1- 2 inches of snow
1-2 inches of sleet tomorrow
NYC
1-2 inches of sleet tomorrow
NYC
WINTER OF 2018-2019
11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"
1/30/19 : 0.8"
2/12/19 : 1.8"
Total : 8.1"
11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"
1/30/19 : 0.8"
2/12/19 : 1.8"
Total : 8.1"
#46
Posted 11 February 2019 - 12:34 PM

metfan4life, on 11 February 2019 - 11:46 AM, said:
1- 2 inches of snow
1-2 inches of sleet tomorrow
NYC
1-2 inches of sleet tomorrow
NYC
2018-2019 Frozen Precipitation Record
November 15, 2018 - 4.1 inches (Miller A "over-performing" - to sleet, freezing rain, rain, back to sleet on 11/16 7 am)
January 13, 2019 - 0.2 inches (northern edge of "southern slider")
January 18, 2019 - 0.6 inches (weak mid-western storm)
January 30, 2019 - 0.5 inches (intense 20 minute squall on arctic front)
February 11, 2019 - 0.3 inches (northern edge of weak wave from the west)
February 12, 2019 - 1.1 inches snow-sleet-snow-rain (front end of wave from the west)
Seasonal Total - 6.8 inches
Notable temperatures: 11/22/2018: 18 F (low), 11/23/2018: 12 F (low), 1/21/2019: 5 F (low), 1/22/2019: 11 F (low), 1/24/2019 60 F (high),
November 15, 2018 - 4.1 inches (Miller A "over-performing" - to sleet, freezing rain, rain, back to sleet on 11/16 7 am)
January 13, 2019 - 0.2 inches (northern edge of "southern slider")
January 18, 2019 - 0.6 inches (weak mid-western storm)
January 30, 2019 - 0.5 inches (intense 20 minute squall on arctic front)
February 11, 2019 - 0.3 inches (northern edge of weak wave from the west)
February 12, 2019 - 1.1 inches snow-sleet-snow-rain (front end of wave from the west)
Seasonal Total - 6.8 inches
Notable temperatures: 11/22/2018: 18 F (low), 11/23/2018: 12 F (low), 1/21/2019: 5 F (low), 1/22/2019: 11 F (low), 1/24/2019 60 F (high),
#47
Posted 11 February 2019 - 12:46 PM

Upton 7am update has 5”-6” in my area with 0.10”-0.20” of ice. With recent warmer trends they will probably cut back on those totals later today.
Cornwall NY
#48
Posted 11 February 2019 - 12:49 PM

OrangeCountyWeather06, on 11 February 2019 - 12:46 PM, said:
Upton 7am update has 5”-6” in my area with 0.10”-0.20” of ice. With recent warmer trends they will probably cut back on those totals later today.
Winter Storm Warnings for Central PA.
Wondering if Mt. Holly pops a WSW for Sussex, Monroe & Carbon Co’s, or if they decide to drop the watch and go with a winter weather advisory given this mornings trends.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY
Work: Middletown, NY
#49
Posted 11 February 2019 - 01:06 PM

weathergeek87, on 11 February 2019 - 12:49 PM, said:
Winter Storm Warnings for Central PA.
Wondering if Mt. Holly pops a WSW for Sussex, Monroe & Carbon Co’s, or if they decide to drop the watch and go with a winter weather advisory given this mornings trends.
I expect a warning. Call it 4-7 of snow/sleet with some freezing rain. Dangerous storm for our area.
Highland Lakes, NJ
Elevation 1400 ft
Elevation 1400 ft
#50
Posted 11 February 2019 - 01:56 PM

#51
Posted 11 February 2019 - 02:36 PM

darkstar, on 11 February 2019 - 01:06 PM, said:
I expect a warning. Call it 4-7 of snow/sleet with some freezing rain. Dangerous storm for our area.
I doubt anyone reaches the 6 inch mark which is warning criteria , latest euro shows 2 inches
Butler, New Jersey
Visit My weatherstation
snowfall
18-19= 16.3 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32
Visit My weatherstation
snowfall
18-19= 16.3 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32
#52
Posted 11 February 2019 - 03:22 PM

#53
Posted 11 February 2019 - 03:37 PM

Winter Storm Warning
Sussex/Morris/Warren/Hunterdon/Somerset
For Sussex Co: 4-7” of snow and 2/10” of ice
All day tomorrow ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
Sussex/Morris/Warren/Hunterdon/Somerset
For Sussex Co: 4-7” of snow and 2/10” of ice
All day tomorrow ❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY
Work: Middletown, NY
#54
Posted 11 February 2019 - 03:38 PM

rgwp96, on 11 February 2019 - 02:36 PM, said:
I doubt anyone reaches the 6 inch mark which is warning criteria , latest euro shows 2 inches
Warning is up now for 4-7 in Sussex County. But also ice. Probably why we got warning.
Location: Wantage NJ (Northwest Sussex County)
Total snow for 2018-2019 season 24 inches
Total snow for 2017-2018 season 64.2 inches
Total snow for 2016-2017 season 62.1 inches
Total snow for 2015-2016 season 12 inches (Least amount ever recorded for my area)
Total snow for 2014-2015 season: 56.3 inches
Total snow for 2013-2014 season: 60.1 inches
Total snow for 2012-2013 season: 50.6 inches
Total snow for 2011-2012 season: 24 inches
Total snow for 2010-2011 season: 50.8 inches
Total snow for 2009-2010 season: 69.5 inches
Total snow for 2008-2009 season: 42.6 inches
Total snow for 2007-2008 season: 52.3 inches
Average 60 Inches
Total snow for 2018-2019 season 24 inches
Total snow for 2017-2018 season 64.2 inches
Total snow for 2016-2017 season 62.1 inches
Total snow for 2015-2016 season 12 inches (Least amount ever recorded for my area)
Total snow for 2014-2015 season: 56.3 inches
Total snow for 2013-2014 season: 60.1 inches
Total snow for 2012-2013 season: 50.6 inches
Total snow for 2011-2012 season: 24 inches
Total snow for 2010-2011 season: 50.8 inches
Total snow for 2009-2010 season: 69.5 inches
Total snow for 2008-2009 season: 42.6 inches
Total snow for 2007-2008 season: 52.3 inches
Average 60 Inches
#55
Posted 11 February 2019 - 03:56 PM

Still waiting on Upton to make a move for NW burbs.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY
Work: Middletown, NY
#56
Posted 11 February 2019 - 04:04 PM

Warning up for Warren County
Go EAGLES, PHILLIES AND FLYERS
(Hackettstown NJ Warren co.)
(Hackettstown NJ Warren co.)
#57
Posted 11 February 2019 - 04:12 PM

#58
Posted 11 February 2019 - 04:28 PM

OrangeCountyWeather06, on 11 February 2019 - 04:12 PM, said:
Winter Storm Warning for Orange, Putnam and Passaic in NJ. 5”-7” of snow and a 0.10-0.20 of ice. Should be dangerous.
Winter Weather Advisories NYC area and nearby surburbs.
Dangerous is an understatement.
Highland Lakes, NJ
Elevation 1400 ft
Elevation 1400 ft
#59
Posted 11 February 2019 - 04:34 PM

#60
Posted 11 February 2019 - 05:06 PM

Gov. Murphy declares a State of Emergency for the Winter Storm.
WINTER OF 2018-2019
11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"
1/30/19 : 0.8"
2/12/19 : 1.8"
Total : 8.1"
11/15/18 : 5.0"
1/18/19 : 0.5"
1/30/19 : 0.8"
2/12/19 : 1.8"
Total : 8.1"
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