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JANUARY WEATHER


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#1
mrain01

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Any model suggestions of winter weather in early January?
Oak Ridge, NJ

#2
NYCSNOWMAN

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View Postmrain01, on 23 December 2019 - 12:25 PM, said:

Any model suggestions of winter weather in early January?
My 2 cents..is that at this point .for NYC and Coasties at least Climo finally on our side by early January.. now will this lead to snow that is million dollar question..Time will tell ..
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
Fleetwood, NY

#3
satellite_eyes

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Models don't look good over the next 2 weeks or so.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#4
metfan4life

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 24 December 2019 - 07:45 AM, said:

Models don't look good over the next 2 weeks or so.

Pacific is ruining everything
Winter 2019-2020
12/2/19 - 1"

#5
vascudave

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past few years the pattern has shifted. snow opportunities will begin february to march (when we are thinking about spring and spring sports).
i'll be shoveling the lacrosse field....again....in march

#6
carribeanpirate

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Jan looks to be above average all the way through....

#7
NYCSNOWMAN

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View Postcarribeanpirate, on 27 December 2019 - 01:47 PM, said:

Jan looks to be above average all the way through....
i admit first 10 days look above average but.in my opinion too early to say what happens after jan 10
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
Fleetwood, NY

#8
carribeanpirate

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View Postdondraper, on 27 December 2019 - 06:04 PM, said:



Looks like great weather. Bring on the Spring.

Spring is in full effect in Florida. New Years Day is forecasted to be 80.

#9
satellite_eyes

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i agree you don't really know beyond 7-10 days or so with the models (pattern wise) but they continue to not look good at all. Probably looking at a mainly Feb-Mar winter at best now.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#10
carribeanpirate

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View PostNYCSNOWMAN, on 27 December 2019 - 05:39 PM, said:

i admit first 10 days look above average but.in my opinion too early to say what happens after jan 10

View Postsatellite_eyes, on 28 December 2019 - 08:19 AM, said:

i agree you don't really know beyond 7-10 days or so with the models (pattern wise) but they continue to not look good at all. Probably looking at a mainly Feb-Mar winter at best now.

While I agree with both of you, let me play devils advocate.....If the pattern showed 2-3 degrees below average with storm potential in the 15-20 day range, would you be saying the same thing?

#11
satellite_eyes

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View Postcarribeanpirate, on 28 December 2019 - 08:32 AM, said:




While I agree with both of you, let me play devils advocate.....If the pattern showed 2-3 degrees below average with storm potential in the 15-20 day range, would you be saying the same thing?
I probably wouldn't mainly because you'd at least have one of the ingredients. But i don't look at storms on the models beyond 10 days at all. I look more for pattern and temps.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#12
isobar65

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View Postmetfan4life, on 24 December 2019 - 09:00 AM, said:

Pacific is ruining everything

Agreed, and long range models don't look good for the 1st half of January around here.
White Plains, NY (Westchester County)

#13
canisteerrd

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Pouring rain with thunder right now. 35.4°
Elev: 1217'

2012-2013 total snow: 67.0"
2013- 2014 total snow: 67.0"
2014-2015 total snow: 71.1"
2015-2016 total snow: 31"
2016-2017 total snow 61"
2017-2018 total snow: 84"
2018-2019 total snow: 40"
2019-2020 total snow: 22.2"
Lowest temp this season: +4

#14
rgwp96

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View Postcanisteerrd, on 30 December 2019 - 03:07 PM, said:

Pouring rain with thunder right now. 35.4

Just had hail in butler
Butler, New Jersey





Visit My weatherstation

snowfall
19-20= 14.1 ytd
18-19= 31.8 ytd
17-18= 72
16-17= 38.3
15-16= 31
14-15=54
13-14 = 63.1
12-13 =46.2
11-12 =19, 10-11= 66
9-10=65 , 8-9 = 40
7-8=32

#15
NYCSNOWMAN

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View Postisobar65, on 30 December 2019 - 02:22 PM, said:



Agreed, and long range models don't look good for the 1st half of January around here.
my gut feeling is by mid January we will have snow to track ..just my hunch
Rob
God Bless America
"WATING FOR WINTERS FURY"
Fleetwood, NY

#16
jimjesswill3

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Possibly a thread the needle event to track
around the 7th & 8th
Jim-Marshalls Creek PA
41.0976 N 75.1217 W
Elevation 1099.1 feet

#17
weathergeek87

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What a joke this pattern is. Maybe there is something to this whole climate change drama, minus the political involvement.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#18
wishcast_hater

    No Curvature

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Joe Bastardi says winter is cancelled.


















Not - I don't think you would ever hear that from the eternal optimist.
Earth is not a spinning ball
Flat Earth Infrared Camera - Hundred of miles with no curve: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5RJhRNWCMo&t=608s
2nd Law of Thermodynamics: Can't have + Pressure against a vaccuum: https://www.youtube....suvdGYCY&t=500s
Astronauts on wires / Chromakey Technology: https://www.youtube....h?v=x6XeELc3QH8
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLltxIX4B8_URNUzDE2sXctnUAEXgEDDGn
http://www.atlantean...nning-ball.html
https://flatearthsci...t-earth-proofs/

#19
gpsnavigator

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Any of that stuff over western PA and NY going to hold together, or fizzle out before it reaches us?
-GPSNav
Home: Rockaway, NJ - Morris County -- Elevation 745 feet
Work: Newton, NJ - Sussex County -- Elevation 570 feet
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#20
weatherbowl

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View Postgpsnavigator, on 31 December 2019 - 02:36 PM, said:

Any of that stuff over western PA and NY going to hold together, or fizzle out before it reaches us?

Radar looks fairly impressive to our west but the forecast is for most of it to fizzle out.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island





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