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OCTOBER WEATHER


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#21
weatherbowl

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Sometimes it takes so long to get freezing temperatures at the coast, we end up getting snow at or before the freeze.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island

#22
satellite_eyes

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Most likely the case but the first snow, even just a coating, is always kind of fun.
Fort Mill, SC (10 miles south of Charlotte, NC)
Elevation 580' - Average Snow: 4"???

Ave. Temps/Rainfall
Jan. 51 / 30 - 3.41"
Feb. 55 / 33 - 3.45"
Mar. 63 / 39 - 4.01"
Apr. 72 / 47 - 3.04"
May 79 / 56 - 3.18"
Jun. 86 / 65 - 3.74"
Jul. 89 / 68 - 3.68"
Aug. 87 / 67 - 4.22"
Sep. 81 / 60 - 3.24"
Oct. 72 / 49 - 3.4"
Nov. 62 / 39 - 3.14"
Dec. 53 / 32 - 3.25"

#23
weathergeek87

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Models in surprisingly good agreement of this too.
Hurricane merging with a significant storm over TX will shoot to our south and intensify off the DE/NJ coast. Arctic air pouring behind it will change areas over to snow. NE burbs need to keep an eye out.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
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#24
TatamyPA

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18z NAM is decidedly not interested in this event from a snow standpoint.
Bethlehem, PA is 80 miles west of NYC
Skywarn Spotter - Mt. Holly

#25
nyrangers1022

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View PostTatamyPA, on 27 October 2020 - 04:02 PM, said:

18z NAM is decidedly not interested in this event from a snow standpoint.

Looks faster and more progressive. Maybe the Pac Jet is just too fast

#26
weathergeek87

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As Robbbs always says, tons of moving parts. Very true for this event.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#27
vascudave

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View PostTatamyPA, on 27 October 2020 - 03:00 PM, said:

You will need to be mainly north of I84 at elevation to get accumulations from this one. Higher elevations in NW NJ could luck out with a coating to an inch or two. The rest of us will be probably be lucky to see snow in the air towards the end of the event. Given the history of what happens to many of us when it snows at this time of the year I will happily pass on this one at my location.

dont want anything to stick but i do like to see flurries in the air

#28
devilsfan0405

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Looks like a nasty stretch from early tomorrow morning until midday Friday. Chilly temps follow the storm. Not going to get out of the 40's on Halloween.

#29
satellite_eyes

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Even down here 50's on Halloween and frost possible by late weekend.
Fort Mill, SC (10 miles south of Charlotte, NC)
Elevation 580' - Average Snow: 4"???

Ave. Temps/Rainfall
Jan. 51 / 30 - 3.41"
Feb. 55 / 33 - 3.45"
Mar. 63 / 39 - 4.01"
Apr. 72 / 47 - 3.04"
May 79 / 56 - 3.18"
Jun. 86 / 65 - 3.74"
Jul. 89 / 68 - 3.68"
Aug. 87 / 67 - 4.22"
Sep. 81 / 60 - 3.24"
Oct. 72 / 49 - 3.4"
Nov. 62 / 39 - 3.14"
Dec. 53 / 32 - 3.25"

#30
devilsfan0405

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 28 October 2020 - 08:14 AM, said:

Even down here 50's on Halloween and frost possible by late weekend.

Wow. I know it's been cold in the midwest. Looks like the East Coast is getting a taste now.

#31
wishcast_hater

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View PostTatamyPA, on 27 October 2020 - 03:00 PM, said:


You will need to be mainly north of I84 at elevation to get accumulations from this one. Higher elevations in NW NJ could luck out with a coating to an inch or two. The rest of us will be probably be lucky to see snow in the air towards the end of the event. Given the history of what happens to many of us when it snows at this time of the year I will happily pass on this one at my location.

Donít want early snow. Precursor for lousy winter.
Need rain. Our wells are being supplemented by tanker trucks up here. Itís been dry all summer and fall
Earth is not a spinning ball
Flat Earth Infrared Camera - Hundred of miles with no curve: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N5RJhRNWCMo&t=608s
2nd Law of Thermodynamics: Can't have + Pressure against a vaccuum: https://www.youtube....suvdGYCY&t=500s
Astronauts on wires / Chromakey Technology: https://www.youtube....h?v=x6XeELc3QH8
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLltxIX4B8_URNUzDE2sXctnUAEXgEDDGn
http://www.atlantean...nning-ball.html
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#32
devilsfan0405

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View Postwishcast_hater, on 28 October 2020 - 09:21 AM, said:

Don't want early snow. Precursor for lousy winter.
Need rain. Our wells are being supplemented by tanker trucks up here. It's been dry all summer and fall

I remember having an early storm before the epic winter of '95-'96. Can't remember any other times when an early snow led to a good winter for fans of the white stuff.

#33
weatherbowl

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 28 October 2020 - 08:14 AM, said:

Even down here 50's on Halloween and frost possible by late weekend.

Satellite it looks like your area could get some nasty weather from the hurricane. Rain and winds gusting to near 40mph.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island

#34
satellite_eyes

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Yes it does however the real heavy rain should be confined to the mountains.
Fort Mill, SC (10 miles south of Charlotte, NC)
Elevation 580' - Average Snow: 4"???

Ave. Temps/Rainfall
Jan. 51 / 30 - 3.41"
Feb. 55 / 33 - 3.45"
Mar. 63 / 39 - 4.01"
Apr. 72 / 47 - 3.04"
May 79 / 56 - 3.18"
Jun. 86 / 65 - 3.74"
Jul. 89 / 68 - 3.68"
Aug. 87 / 67 - 4.22"
Sep. 81 / 60 - 3.24"
Oct. 72 / 49 - 3.4"
Nov. 62 / 39 - 3.14"
Dec. 53 / 32 - 3.25"

#35
weathergeek87

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 28 October 2020 - 12:25 PM, said:

Yes it does however the real heavy rain should be confined to the mountains.

Definitely not a good area to get torrential rains. The terrain could cause flash flooding in certain valley areas.
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#36
satellite_eyes

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View Postweathergeek87, on 28 October 2020 - 12:44 PM, said:



Definitely not a good area to get torrential rains. The terrain could cause flash flooding in certain valley areas.
It happens pretty often. The weather is pretty wild in those mountains.
Fort Mill, SC (10 miles south of Charlotte, NC)
Elevation 580' - Average Snow: 4"???

Ave. Temps/Rainfall
Jan. 51 / 30 - 3.41"
Feb. 55 / 33 - 3.45"
Mar. 63 / 39 - 4.01"
Apr. 72 / 47 - 3.04"
May 79 / 56 - 3.18"
Jun. 86 / 65 - 3.74"
Jul. 89 / 68 - 3.68"
Aug. 87 / 67 - 4.22"
Sep. 81 / 60 - 3.24"
Oct. 72 / 49 - 3.4"
Nov. 62 / 39 - 3.14"
Dec. 53 / 32 - 3.25"

#37
weathergeek87

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 28 October 2020 - 01:30 PM, said:

It happens pretty often. The weather is pretty wild in those mountains.

They are truly an incredible microclimate that is for sure. Wild elevations at such a far south latitude. I always spoke with Shawn and Nick about how incredible it would be if you had elevations such as those found in western NC, in northwestern NJ. Imagine if HP was 4-5K feet?
Home: Hamburg, NJ (Hardyston Township, Sussex County) Elevation 700'
Work: Middletown, NY

#38
satellite_eyes

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View Postweathergeek87, on 28 October 2020 - 03:11 PM, said:



They are truly an incredible microclimate that is for sure. Wild elevations at such a far south latitude. I always spoke with Shawn and Nick about how incredible it would be if you had elevations such as those found in western NC, in northwestern NJ. Imagine if HP was 4-5K feet?
yeh right. You would basically have Adirondack weather in NW NJ. You'd be amazed at how often they get LES down here within about 1.5 hours of Charlotte. Obviously it doesn't amount to much (dusting to 2") but it happens very often even when it's not modeled.
Fort Mill, SC (10 miles south of Charlotte, NC)
Elevation 580' - Average Snow: 4"???

Ave. Temps/Rainfall
Jan. 51 / 30 - 3.41"
Feb. 55 / 33 - 3.45"
Mar. 63 / 39 - 4.01"
Apr. 72 / 47 - 3.04"
May 79 / 56 - 3.18"
Jun. 86 / 65 - 3.74"
Jul. 89 / 68 - 3.68"
Aug. 87 / 67 - 4.22"
Sep. 81 / 60 - 3.24"
Oct. 72 / 49 - 3.4"
Nov. 62 / 39 - 3.14"
Dec. 53 / 32 - 3.25"

#39
weatherbowl

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Areas like Boone N.C. and some surrounding areas often have very interesting weather and snow, a different world than the Charlotte area but not far away.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island

#40
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Looks like Zeta might've caught some forecasters off guard. Last I had looked, this was only supposed to be a strong tropical storm at landfall.
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