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Eta Long Term Track


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#1
mrain01

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Anyone have any thoughts or projections on whether Eta can effect the NE after re-entering Caribbean?
Oak Ridge, NJ

#2
satellite_eyes

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never say never but the models show a lot of strong high pressure over the east for the most part over the next 10-12 days. After that it's remnants may get absorbed on a cold front.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#3
carribeanpirate

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Reports from here talk about the high pressure building in and pushing Eta away from the peninsula and into the panhandle. I can live with that, not wanting any destruction for anyone.

#4
satellite_eyes

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GFS (which has been good with these tropical systems this year) now has it forecasted to sit all around/over FL for like a week (in some form), blocked off by HP.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#5
carribeanpirate

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 04 November 2020 - 01:25 PM, said:

GFS (which has been good with these tropical systems this year) now has it forecasted to sit all around/over FL for like a week (in some form), blocked off by HP.

Hearing I-4 is the cutoff. For perspective, I-4 runs from Tampa to Daytona Beach. Hoping it stays a bit further south, I am about 1 mile north of I-4

#6
satellite_eyes

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Oh yeh I know I-4 Iíve been to Tampa and Orlando many times. Way too soon to know cut off but makes sense that there will be a sharp one somewhere in FL. The 6pm run actually shifted south I believe. Still several days of tracking though.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#7
carribeanpirate

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on 04 November 2020 - 09:24 PM, said:

Oh yeh I know I-4 I've been to Tampa and Orlando many times. Way too soon to know cut off but makes sense that there will be a sharp one somewhere in FL. The 6pm run actually shifted south I believe. Still several days of tracking though.

I've only been in my house for 4 months, south is better!

#8
satellite_eyes

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12Z GFS brings it into the gulf after some heavy bands in most of FL (nothing drastic). Once again it gets absorbed into a CF. Doesn't develop into anything big outside of heavy rain. Aside from this the west looks pretty active.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#9
satellite_eyes

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GFS showing a stronger system now over southern FL before it starts to fizzle out. But then puts it back in the gulf afterwards. Will be interesting to watch.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150' - Average Snow: 50"

Snow Stats (as of 3/31/15)
2014-2015 Winter - 67.0" Min Temp -6
2013-2014 Winter - 66.1" Min Temp -5
2012-2013 Winter - 53.4" Min Temp +1
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6

#10
carribeanpirate

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Pretty windy here today, probably 30-40 mph gusts. Supposed to continue through tomorrow then ease up. Interested to see how it affects the Masters late week/weekend.





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