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The first long range storm of the season.

Started by metfan4life, Oct 30 2009 09:52 AM

35 replies to this topic

#1
metfan4life
Posted 30 October 2009 - 09:52 AM

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0z Euro

168
Posted Image

:biggrin:
LETS GO METS

#2
satellite_eyes
Posted 30 October 2009 - 10:12 AM

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Well only 7 days away may as well track it. What does it say? Im at work so pic links don't work for me now.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150'

Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"

2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)

#3
metfan4life
Posted 30 October 2009 - 10:16 AM

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on Oct 30 2009, 11:12 AM, said:

Well only 7 days away may as well track it. What does it say? Im at work so pic links don't work for me now.

Snowstorm for NE and SNE. Looks like some snow around NYC and upstate NY.
LETS GO METS

#4
Virgaman
Posted 30 October 2009 - 10:44 AM

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View Postmetfan4life, on Oct 30 2009, 03:16 PM, said:

Snowstorm for NE and SNE. Looks like some snow around NYC and upstate NY.


AND THIS suppose to be around novemeber 6th? pretty cool

#5
metfan4life
Posted 30 October 2009 - 10:46 AM

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View PostVirgaman, on Oct 30 2009, 11:44 AM, said:

AND THIS suppose to be around novemeber 6th? pretty cool

I predicted back in Sepetember that NYC will see its first flakes on November 6th. :biggrin: . Seriously though, I think this outcome will change. Not one model agrees with this outcome.
LETS GO METS

#6
metfan4life
Posted 30 October 2009 - 01:39 PM

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12z Euro also has a storm during this timeframe.

Posted Image
LETS GO METS

#7
Virgaman
Posted 30 October 2009 - 01:45 PM

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View Postmetfan4life, on Oct 30 2009, 07:39 PM, said:

12z Euro also has a storm during this timeframe.


i THOUGHT i saw the gfs this morning also showing a storm of cold nature around november 6th

#8
metfan4life
Posted 30 October 2009 - 01:50 PM

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View PostVirgaman, on Oct 30 2009, 02:45 PM, said:

i THOUGHT i saw the gfs this morning also showing a storm of cold nature around november 6th

It did but it was an inland runner.
LETS GO METS

#9
jfio93
Posted 30 October 2009 - 02:28 PM

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finally something to watch
ive been to the pearly gates they sent me back the good die young i aint eligible for that".- 50 cent
i hate a liar more then a i hate a thief, a thief is only after my salary a liar is after my reality- 50 cent
09-10 Winter Stats

12-19/12-20-8 inches
1/2- 1/31- 4 inches
2/10- 14 inch
2/16-3 inches
2/25-2/26-21 inches

total-52 inches

#10
icehater
Posted 30 October 2009 - 03:47 PM

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I must be drunk. I see nothing there but a weak system way offshore. The incoming cold is also not even cold enough if there was a storm around. It's November 5th on that map so folks get realistic. Also the Euro wants to bring in a nationwide warm-up by next weekend.
Monmouth county NJ

#11
metfan4life
Posted 30 October 2009 - 04:24 PM

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View Posticehater, on Oct 30 2009, 04:47 PM, said:

Also the Euro wants to bring in a nationwide warm-up by next weekend.

:biggrin:

People on the other board said that it's cold throughout the whole run.
LETS GO METS

#12
icehater
Posted 30 October 2009 - 05:42 PM

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View Postmetfan4life, on Oct 30 2009, 05:24 PM, said:

:biggrin:

People on the other board said that it's cold throughout the whole run.

No cold air anywhere in the US here. This starts next Saturday on the Euro.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/...3012!!/
Monmouth county NJ

#13
Virgaman
Posted 31 October 2009 - 07:31 AM

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View Posticehater, on Oct 30 2009, 11:42 PM, said:

No cold air anywhere in the US here. This starts next Saturday on the Euro.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/...3012!!/

shades of 1972-73 all over again lololol :biggrin:

#14
jfio93
Posted 01 November 2009 - 10:38 AM

    Eye Of da Hurricane

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whats going on with this storm no post in over 27 hours
ive been to the pearly gates they sent me back the good die young i aint eligible for that".- 50 cent
i hate a liar more then a i hate a thief, a thief is only after my salary a liar is after my reality- 50 cent
09-10 Winter Stats

12-19/12-20-8 inches
1/2- 1/31- 4 inches
2/10- 14 inch
2/16-3 inches
2/25-2/26-21 inches

total-52 inches

#15
algreek3
Posted 02 November 2009 - 12:56 PM

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View Postjfio93, on Nov 1 2009, 11:38 AM, said:

whats going on with this storm no post in over 27 hours

Nothing much. Storm offshore @ 96 hours.

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#16
Mike_The_Golfer
Posted 02 November 2009 - 01:00 PM

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Both GFS & Euro look to go quite warm by the end of the upcoming weekend.
You're only young once, but you have your whole life to be immature!

#17
icehater
Posted 02 November 2009 - 05:54 PM

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View Postjfio93, on Nov 1 2009, 10:38 AM, said:

whats going on with this storm no post in over 27 hours

There never was a storm and it's why you don't waste time with the models beyond 4-5 days with storms anyway. Were you really expecting a snowstorm in the first week of November?
Monmouth county NJ

#18
Stormchaser
Posted 02 November 2009 - 09:43 PM

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View Posticehater, on Nov 2 2009, 05:54 PM, said:

There never was a storm and it's why you don't waste time with the models beyond 4-5 days with storms anyway. Were you really expecting a snowstorm in the first week of November?


Seriously - I don't even remotely think about sticking snow until post November 25th for us (NYC and coast). Mountains a different story, although still more likely to get snow in April.

#19
roughsurf
Posted 03 November 2009 - 11:48 AM

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I know you guys are much more knowledgeable then I am by far, but now it looks as if "something" is going to come through the area Wed-Thur night. Although not much, it's suppose to be 32 with a chance of showers for Wed night, and flurries/showers on Thursday night. During the day it's a chance of showers with a high of 42 and 43 respectively. I know it's nothing much at all, but compared to sunny and in the mid to upper 50's as predicted just yesterday, something has changed.

So even though it's not a full blown nor' easter, something is coming through to give us the chance of precip and up north and west, it could be mixed with snow or all wet snow from the sounds of it.

Storm, you mention about snow sticking in early November, out here in the NW NJ and further up north yes, but it will be gone in a day or two at the most. What I want to say though, is this is the 2nd year we had accumulating snow in October ! Last year late October, this year, mid October. This is very unusual I'm sure, but still there is always that chance to see some flakes early in the season and for most of us, that's good enough. As always, I appreciate your insight and knowledge you bring to this board.

Thanks again,
Mark

***********************************************

Winter 2011/2012


Washington Township, NJ -- Warren County, NW NJ


    Snow Totals for 2011/2012 Winter(IMBY)
    ---------------------------
  • Oct 22 ------> 11.50"
  • Jan 11 ------> Tr
  • Jan 13 ------> Dusting
  • Jan 16 ------> .25 (Snow/Sleet)
    ---------------------------
    Total Snow --> 11.75"
      [indent]
    • Lowest Temp 2011/2012 -- 7.9 (12/10/2011)
    • First snow flakes : Oct 22, 2011
    • First Measurable Snow : Oct 22, 2011
    • First 30 degree night -- September 26[/indent]
        ----------2010/2011----------
      • Total Snow -- 69.50 inches(IMBY)
        ----------2009/2010----------
      • Total Snow -- 73.25 inches(IMBY)
        ----------2008/2009----------
      • Total Snow -- 40.50 inches(IMBY)
        ----------2007/2008----------
      • Total Snow -- 30.25 inches(IMBY)

      #20
      Mike_The_Golfer
      Posted 03 November 2009 - 11:50 AM

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      It's something for NE...not nearly as much of an event for us. And now it looks to be even more offshore than originally thought.
      You're only young once, but you have your whole life to be immature!
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