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0According to that map, it had 3-6" NW NJ, immediate suburbs of NYC 6-10", NYC ~12", LI gets 15-20", and Central/Southern NJ gets their 20" with a few higher amounts.
#1
Posted 20 December 2009 - 12:08 AM
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Just want to point out that this model's 00z run Fridaynight/Saturday morning had it pegged very well. It had nearly the perfect cutoff to the N&W and had the highest amounts along the Jersey Shore.
According to that map, it had 3-6" NW NJ, immediate suburbs of NYC 6-10", NYC ~12", LI gets 15-20", and Central/Southern NJ gets their 20" with a few higher amounts.
According to that map, it had 3-6" NW NJ, immediate suburbs of NYC 6-10", NYC ~12", LI gets 15-20", and Central/Southern NJ gets their 20" with a few higher amounts.
Mike
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"
Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"
The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"
Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"
The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.
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#2
Posted 20 December 2009 - 12:21 AM
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#3
Posted 20 December 2009 - 12:25 AM
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I think the ARW from a bit earlier had it best nailed for central and south Jersey. The NMM from this morning was fabulous with the mesoscale banding in south Jersey. But all the NMM's from earlier were awful.
Monmouth county NJ
#4
Posted 20 December 2009 - 07:37 AM
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so can/should we follow these for the Christmas storm?
"every little thing, gonna be alright."
#5
Posted 20 December 2009 - 11:16 AM
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vascudave, on Dec 20 2009, 07:37 AM, said:
so can/should we follow these for the Christmas storm?
For any storm very close in only. They are only 48 hour models. The NMM ended up being very accurate on the mesoscale banding but only on it's Saturday morning solution, after snow was on our doorstep or started. All earlier solutons had zilch, even here. So it missed 2' of snow until the last possible moment.
Monmouth county NJ
#6
Posted 20 December 2009 - 12:03 PM
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vascudave, on Dec 20 2009, 07:37 AM, said:
so can/should we follow these for the Christmas storm?
icehater, on Dec 20 2009, 11:16 AM, said:
For any storm very close in only. They are only 48 hour models. The NMM ended up being very accurate on the mesoscale banding but only on it's Saturday morning solution, after snow was on our doorstep or started. All earlier solutons had zilch, even here. So it missed 2' of snow until the last possible moment.
Yeah they definitely need to be looked at when it comes in range. Although I am not sure where we can access soundings from them?
Mike
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"
Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"
The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"
Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"
The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.
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