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02-06-10 Member Calls


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#1
NittanyLion

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Would probably be a good idea to post all member calls in here to keep everything organized and so people can just look in here to see what someone predicted and not have to clutter up the other threads with questions of he said/she said.

I will post my thoughts later tonight.
Mike
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"

Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"

The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.

#2
NittanyLion

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Posted Image

Dry air advection kills northern movement, absence of warm air advection north of Trenton keeps totals down, but good vorticity advection across whole area gives lighter snows to northern areas.
Mike
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"

Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"

The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.

#3
lab94

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here is my shot at it btw I may have to unload the train.LOL



Visit My Weather Station

station info on Weather Underground

Lab's Radar


Elevation 784'

11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"

#4
icehater

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No map but I'll stay where I was 10+ NYC and west, 15+ Monmouth south and west to Philly, 18+ northern ocean south and west, 24+ far south NJ say Atlantic City and south thru DC. North of NYC 5-10" to the Tap and then a drop off to 1-4". Anyone want to draw it is fine with me. Can't change this late. If its a bust its a big one. But climo says DC doesn't get 2' and central NJ gets 2-3" so I have to say the nam is overdoing somethimg. Will be real interested to see the Hi res ARF and NMM especially 12Z Friday.
Monmouth county NJ

#5
TatamyPA

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Here's my updated map:

Attached File  020610c.bmp   469.8K   88 downloads

#6
NittanyLion

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View PostNittanyLion, on Feb 4 2010, 11:17 PM, said:

Posted Image

Dry air advection kills northern movement, absence of warm air advection north of Trenton keeps totals down, but good vorticity advection across whole area gives lighter snows to northern areas.

I see no reason to change this.
Mike
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"

Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"

The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.

#7
viking70

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View Posticehater, on Feb 5 2010, 12:14 AM, said:

No map but I'll stay where I was 10+ NYC and west, 15+ Monmouth south and west to Philly, 18+ northern ocean south and west, 24+ far south NJ say Atlantic City and south thru DC. North of NYC 5-10" to the Tap and then a drop off to 1-4". Anyone want to draw it is fine with me. Can't change this late. If its a bust its a big one. But climo says DC doesn't get 2' and central NJ gets 2-3" so I have to say the nam is overdoing somethimg. Will be real interested to see the Hi res ARF and NMM especially 12Z Friday.


Wow Ice--- I hope you are right. I would love 5-10 inches. Here we go north movement!!
Ossining, NY (Westchester) Elevation 361 ft.

WINTER OF 2010-11

12/14-- 1 inch
12/26-- 12 inches guestimate
1/7-- 3.25 inches
1/11-12-- 7.5 inches
1/18-- 2 inches of snow and sleet
1/21-- 3.5 inches
1/27- 11 inches

#8
icehater

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View Postviking70, on Feb 5 2010, 11:02 AM, said:

Wow Ice--- I hope you are right. I would love 5-10 inches. Here we go north movement!!

Well the map DT has that Metfan put up in the other thread has you at 4-8". Funny but DT is not all that different from my thoughts but his tone based on what Metfan was saying sounded radically different. No one can call these sharp cutoffs and eventual banding effect well or whether the storm drifts north or south a bit. But the game is about to start and the models mean less and less now.
Monmouth county NJ

#9
metfan4life

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JB

4-16 inches
LETS GO METS

#10
Jimrin1967

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Here is my final call:

Posted Image
--Jim

www.facebook.com/jimrin1967

#11
Nero Lance

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North of 80 - 3 - 6
South of 80 to Driscoll Bridge 6 - 12
Areas south 12+

#12
wishcast_hater

    Super Cell

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NYC 1-3"
Southern Westchester = Dusting to 2"
Brooklyn/SI = 5"

Hoping to bust on this big time, so we get more. HAHAHA
Yonkers, NY - The City Of Hills - Where nothing is on the level including our local government.

#13
TatamyPA

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View PostJimrin1967, on Feb 5 2010, 03:49 PM, said:

Here is my final call:

Posted Image

This forecast looks good based on current trends!

#14
lab94

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View Postlab94, on Feb 4 2010, 11:53 PM, said:

here is my shot at it btw I may have to unload the train.LOL


Attachment 27_guess.png


Well nothing here so far Ill check this later :pinch:
Visit My Weather Station

station info on Weather Underground

Lab's Radar


Elevation 784'

11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"

#15
TatamyPA

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Here's a map of the totals for KLWX:



#16
TatamyPA

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Here's the link to the map of the Philly totals:

http://www.erh.noaa....ow_from_pns.php

Here's the link to the Wakefield totals:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/akq/wx_events/Snow...0/snowmap.shtml





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