356 replies to this topic

[LongIslandWthr]

OK guys, this will be our main discussion thread until 12z Tomorrow Morning. Lets remember to follow all board rules and guidelines, also remember, sometimes its better to sit back and read, then post allot of questions that have or are in the process of being answered!

Lets all hope for a good night of runs!

[IdolikesnowKocin]

ok nice

[TatamyPA]

Here's the new 21 UTC SREF:

[nyrangers1022]

wow do i get shafted hardcore

[robbbs]

Ice -- With respect to the area of higher precip over MD, etc., versus lower amounts north, here's what DT stated: "if the gap in QPF between Philly and NYC is because of the low transference, then how does that second burst of heavy QPF over central and eastern MD develop on the WEST and SOUTHWEST side of the coastal low which is still moving?" This has been puzzling me all day, more so than your issues with Boston precip. The higher precip totals for DC and vicinity and east are not coming early in the event according to the modeling, but later. Therefore, it's not due to precip from the initial low but from the bombing coastal. So tell me how they get a burst of heavy precip from a bombing low to their northeast and moving away, and we get less precip from a bombing low, sitting in a perfect spot, to our southeast? No way. Either they're going to bust on the high side in DC, or we're going to bust on the low side here, or both.

[TatamyPA]

0z NAM is now running.

[njblizzard]

well, Nam started and cross your finger that what robbbs and ice has mention on the thread pan out...We have perfect track but lack of precip...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_pcp_006m.gif

[robbbs]

TatamyPA, on Feb 9 2010, 01:50 AM, said:

Here's the new 21 UTC SREF:

sref_x24_054s.gif

And some more precip to follow. Nice start to tonight's runs.

[rgwp96]

nyrangers1022, on Feb 8 2010, 08:51 PM, said:

wow do i get shafted hardcore

you may want to look again, the first map he posted was an old one from this past weekend. The correct one is now up

[TatamyPA]

rgwp96, on Feb 8 2010, 08:55 PM, said:

you may want to look again, the first map he posted was an old one from this past weekend. The correct one is now up

[LongIslandCoastalWx]

HR 24: Secondary low is now forming off the NC coast.

[waywardfirefox]

njblizzard, on Feb 8 2010, 09:53 PM, said:

well, Nam started and cross your finger that what robbbs and ice has mention on the thread pan out...We have perfect track but lack of precip...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_pcp_006m.gif

dont forget..there is not a lot of moisture to work with in the middle of the country..however they are getting pounded with snow... we will have a coastal low that will develop and provide even more moisture

[lab94]

looks good

[LongIslandCoastalWx]

00Z NAM HR 30

[IdolikesnowKocin]

Anyone worried about this water vapor loop? and what you see in the north east? robbs/ice
http://www.nws.noaa....age=wv&hours=24

[waywardfirefox]

LongIslandCoastalWx, on Feb 8 2010, 09:10 PM, said:

00Z NAM HR 30

that doesnt look so good someone please explain!!??

[jfio93]

looks like the low is too far off the coast

[LIWEATHERGUY437]

LongIslandCoastalWx, on Feb 8 2010, 09:10 PM, said:

00Z NAM HR 30

Is that good or bad?

[waywardfirefox]

jfio93, on Feb 8 2010, 09:13 PM, said:

looks like the low is too far off the coast

is that bad news?

[jfio93]

i was meant to pose that as a question