19 replies to this topic

[FreeRideNJ]

Looks like a pre-cursor to a WSW coming soon

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
250 PM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-
067>071-241000-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEWTON...
WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
250 PM EST FRI FEB 23 2007

...A WINTER STORM THREAT INCREASING FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY
MORNING...

LOW PRESSURE WILL ORGANIZE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTRY
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. AS THIS STORM MOVES TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES
AND OHIO VALLEY LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY, IT WILL INTENSIFY FOR A
TIME. MEANWHILE, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED TO OUR NORTH,
ALLOWING COLDER AIR TO REMAIN ACROSS OUR REGION. AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES ON SUNDAY, MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST STARTING AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST LATE SUNDAY, KEEPING MOISTURE ACROSS OUR REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

THE EXACT TRACK OF THE COASTAL STORM WILL IMPACT HOW MUCH MOISTURE
ACTUALLY FALLS ACROSS OUR AREA, AND ALSO THE EXTENT OF WARMING
TEMPERATURES. WHILE THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY INVOLVED, IT
STRONGLY APPEARS THAT A GOOD PORTION OF OUR REGION WILL SEE ANOTHER
ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW AND SLEET. WITH MILDER AIR PUSHING IN
ABOVE THE SURFACE LATE SUNDAY, FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. IF ENOUGH WARMER AIR WORKS INLAND,
THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL THEN TURN TO PLAIN RAIN FOR SOME AREAS.
AT THIS TIME, AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW
AND SLEET ARE ALONG AND TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95
CORRIDOR.

BECAUSE THE EXACT LOCATION OF WHERE THE COASTAL STORM FORMS IS STILL
A BIT UNCERTAIN, IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO PINPOINT ACCUMULATIONS.
HOWEVER, A PLOWABLE SNOW AND SLEET EVENT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING
FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR, WITH A
LIGHT COATING OF ICE POSSIBLE AS WELL. AS A RESULT OF THIS, TRAVEL
COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND
INTO MONDAY MORNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS AND YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WINTER STORM. A
WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR PARTS OF THE AREA DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$

[LongIslandWthr]

Hmm, a few things to ensure we get snow

[li]1. No Snow dances buck naked out in the street.[/li]
[li]2. Don't ask how much snow we are going to get 12 times before the event is actually here.[/li]

[lab94]

Thanks FreeRide

[FreeRideNJ]

Quote

Hmm, a few things to ensure we get snow

[li]1. No Snow dances buck naked out in the street.[/li]
[li]2. Don't ask how much snow we are going to get 12 times before the event is actually here.[/li]

Yeah, how about we all just sit back, say nothing and let this baby unfold on it's own.  It seems the more attention we give these storms, the more they peeter out.

[devilsfan0405]

Quote

Quote

Hmm, a few things to ensure we get snow

[li]1. No Snow dances buck naked out in the street.[/li]
[li]2. Don't ask how much snow we are going to get 12 times before the event is actually here.[/li]

Yeah, how about we all just sit back, say nothing and let this baby unfold on it's own.  It seems the more attention we give these storms, the more they peeter out.

That's my exact superstition!  Everytime I start to check out each newscast and weather report, we seem to lose the storm.  If I just lay low and don't talk about it or pay too much attention to it, we seem to get it.  It's almost like a pitcher throwing a no-hitter.  If you talk about it, you jinx it.

[LongIslandWthr]

Exactly so let me be the first to say, what fooking snow storm? We aren’t going to get one that’s for sure!  ;)

[chunderboy]

Sorry guys, 

I may be new here, but the thought of an impending snow storm immediately causes me to start asking the same question over and over again.  How much and where?  But in the interest of not annoying the snow g-ds I will refrain. 

[LongIslandWthr]

Quote

Sorry guys, 

I may be new here, but the thought of an impending snow storm immediately causes me to start asking the same question over and over again.  How much and where?  But in the interest of not annoying the snow g-ds I will refrain. 

LOL! Yes don’t want to piss off the snow gods.

[FreeRideNJ]

Quote

Sorry guys, 

I may be new here, but the thought of an impending snow storm immediately causes me to start asking the same question over and over again.  How much and where?  But in the interest of not annoying the snow g-ds I will refrain. 

How about, we'll let you know Monday evening..after the 'potential event'

[LongIslandWthr]

All hail the snow gods.

[img width=225 height=145]http://i19.tinypic.com/2ir66bs.gif[/img]

[winterbird04]

I just listened to my NOAA radio, did not really give to much a clue as to up coming event.Notice i said EVENT.All pray to the snow gods.

[LongIslandWthr]

[img width=600 height=449]http://i19.tinypic.com/2qn9log.gif[/img]

[Stormchaser]

FWIW,

18Z GFS depicts a mostly snow/ some sleet scenario for NYC. Per soundings, everyone from Monmouth county northward never gets above freezing at the surface again. Valentine's Day redux? Probably not with the widespread freezing rain -- but we could be looking at yet another sleet storm for many folks along the I-95 corridor PHL to TTN and BLM. NW NJ is all snow on the 18z GFS -- would be at least 4-6". This is just model interpretation folks -- I'm not forecasting anything yet.

[LongIslandWthr]

Wow, channel 7 said Snow-Sleet-Rain for pretty much everyone. How sad.

[rgwp96]

Quote

Wow, channel 7 said Snow-Sleet-Rain for pretty much everyone. How sad.

they have no choice, no clear cut forecast can be given esp. since its stiill 2 days away.

[Stormchaser]

Soundings look great for NYC northwestward in terms of snow -- now we just need consistency for another 48 hours or so. Central NJ is snow to sleet to freezing rain then back to snow. Southern NJ is snow/sleet quickly over to plain rain. Long Island a bit warmer than KNYC per LGA sounding; but still no rain in sight with this system. I'll stick with my original idea a few days ago of this being all frozen pcpn for everyone north of 195 in central NJ.

[monmouthcoweather]

storm hopefully it will trend a bit colder so we are all snow here in monmouth

[Snow15]

Storm...do you think this will be all snow for Northwest Middlesex County??

[Stormchaser]

Quote

Storm...do you think this will be all snow for Northwest Middlesex County??

Difficult to say right now. Any slight trend to the south in terms of coastal low track and it's all snow for Middlesex and Monmouth counties. Per the latest data it's a snow to sleet storm for central New Jersey; mainly SN NYC northwestward. Once again, time for trending over the next 48hrs. Primary point here is a winter storm becoming more likely. More details as we approach Sunday.

[winterbird04]

This is so crazy when just a few days ago a few mets were calling for an all RAIN event.Now dare we say---- :o