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12z NAM


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#1
njblizzard

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Its stronger for central, NJ and slighly colder. I dont know how the soundings are thou. Maybe dynamic cooling can get some snow for central, NJ. Right?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_p06_042m.gif
Posted Image-----Jan 1996 Blizzard

#2
snowfreak188

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maybe so or maybe no lol
New York Giants!

10-11 total snowfall-58.0"

09-10 total snowfall-55.5"

08-09 total snowfall-43.3"

1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)

#3
snowfreak188

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QPF 48hours

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_p48_048s.gif
New York Giants!

10-11 total snowfall-58.0"

09-10 total snowfall-55.5"

08-09 total snowfall-43.3"

1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)

#4
robbbs

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Quote

Its stronger for central, NJ and slighly colder. I dont know how the soundings are thou. Maybe dynamic cooling can get some snow for central, NJ. Right?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_p06_042m.gif

I don't see it colder. The 850 line is further north at 42 hours and is draped accross extreme northern NJ and western LI. Most of NJ and eastern LI are south of the 850 line. The 540 line is north of everyone but extreme northwest NJ. This is a snow to mix or rain event for nearly all except extreme northwest NJ and I wouldn't count on no mix there eirther.
West Milford NJ

#5
snowfreak188

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yipppy we get screwed again im guessing idk what to do on this storm. sleep????
New York Giants!

10-11 total snowfall-58.0"

09-10 total snowfall-55.5"

08-09 total snowfall-43.3"

1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)

#6
FreeRideNJ

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Quote

Quote

Its stronger for central, NJ and slighly colder. I dont know how the soundings are thou. Maybe dynamic cooling can get some snow for central, NJ. Right?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_p06_042m.gif

I don't see it colder. The 850 line is further north at 42 hours and is draped accross extreme northern NJ and western LI. Most of NJ and eastern LI are south of the 850 line. The 540 line is north of everyone but extreme northwest NJ. This is a snow to mix or rain event for nearly all except extreme northwest NJ and I wouldn't count on no mix there eirther.

That freakin' low over the great lakes is our worst enemy as it sucks up the warm air from the south to the west of our area.  This is going to be another nowcast situation right down to the last minute.  Although not the exact same set-up it is very reminiscent of the V-Day storm.  Wait and see and keep your fingers crossed.
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Elevation 605 ft.

#7
robbbs

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yipppy we get screwed again im guessing idk what to do on this storm. sleep????

Snowfreak, not all is lost. The precip goes back to snow across all of northern NJ, NY Metro, and LI beyond 42 hours (based on 850 and 540 lines only -- really have to look at soundings to make sure it's not sleet/ice).
West Milford NJ

#8
njblizzard

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I have heard enough of 850 and 540 lines north of our area in last ten days.  >:(
Posted Image-----Jan 1996 Blizzard

#9
lab94

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Quote

yipppy we get screwed again im guessing idk what to do on this storm. sleep????

Here this might help get you through the rest of the winter. LOL

[img width=146 height=190]http://i18.tinypic.com/4gniomq.jpg[/img]
Visit My Weather Station

station info on Weather Underground

Lab's Radar


Elevation 784'

11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"

#10
Stormchaser

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God Almighty, this could be another sleet/freezing rain storm for parts of Monmouth county. 12Z NAM is snow to sleet to freezing rain for us per soundings -- the surface remains below freezing everywhere, no rain, but mid levels warm to 1.0c. (850mb)

For NYC - it's snow and sleet, possibly a decent accumulation of both.

Once again, I'm not seeing a change to rain in NYC as some mets are right now. Winds remain NELY at the lower-levels, off the land -- wind direction is key here.

#11
LongIslandWthr

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Storm-- Are you seeing any rain on LI?
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Brookhaven, Long Island

#12
Snow15

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Monmouth County did get the worst hit in the VD storm, while up here in Northwest Middlesex County we had some pretty decent sleet and snow...i hope we get good snows this time?
-------------------------------------------------
Piscataway,NJ

#13
summer

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Snow Crowd,
This is a no major snow event for most places within 50 miles of NYC - lets stop trying to spin it
It will be a terrible Monday morning commute but nothing suggests a 6 inch snow event
summer

#14
LongIslandWthr

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Summer why dident you say "Take it to the bank" again?
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Brookhaven, Long Island

#15
summer

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Because it seems to upset people that want snow and get on my back because I so strongly resist them when I see no evidence to support their views... If I am wrong I always state it... You can take that to the bank.. LOL

#16
Stormchaser

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Summer, this was never a major snow event as major snow is 12"+ amounts. Significant -- that's a different story. Take it to the PNC Arts center.

#17
summer

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significant... yet that is the word.. I had used it in some of my earlier posts... not major

#18
FreeRideNJ

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Because it seems to upset people that want snow and get on my back because I so strongly resist them when I see no evidence to support their views... If I am wrong I always state it... You can take that to the bank.. LOL

Summer, the truth is you don't know what is going to happen.  What's really annoying is that you are on every post with a loudspeaker trying to broadcast what nobody wants to hear.  This coming from from someone who really doesn't know alot about the weather.  Leave it to the guys who know what they are looking at and keep the hopes alive, this may turn out better than you think.   ;D
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#19
summer

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So funny freehold I never once have personally attacked you and enjoy your posts - you choose to take the low road and attack me personally not a problem.. I will refrain from posting in the future when I disagree with anyone

#20
summer

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Correction.. freeride not freehold.. sorry





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