Jump to content

My first call-- 18z NAM


15 replies to this topic

#1
LongIslandWthr

    #4!

  • Members
  • 4,706 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:LongIsland
  • Brookhaven
  • NY

Subject to change---

[img width=600 height=389]http://i9.tinypic.com/3zu7yw2.jpg[/img]
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island

#2
robbbs

  • Members
  • 11,123 posts
Longislandwthr, with all due respect, I think the coast has a very high bust potential with this event on the 4" to 7" snows. I still think mixing will play a large role and cut down numbers. I hope I'm wrong and will be the first to congratulate you if these numbers hold but I have big doubts. Having said that, the 00z runs tonight will be very important in shedding any light or consistency to the situation.
West Milford NJ

#3
LongIslandWthr

    #4!

  • Members
  • 4,706 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:LongIsland
  • Brookhaven
  • NY
Yeah I know, I dident feel like putting the pink there LOL
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island

#4
Stormchaser

  • Members
  • 7,578 posts
Some differences in our thinking here, but not a bad map. Will give my call later this evening. (without map) I'm looking for the 00z NAM to remain consistent with its 18z trend.

#5
metfan4life

  • Members
  • 16,061 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Brooklyn,NY
storm,ice or robbs,how come the mets on tv r saying only 1-3 inches and mostly rain,snow and sleet?
LETS GO METS

#6
robbbs

  • Members
  • 11,123 posts

Quote

storm,ice or robbs,how come the mets on tv r saying only 1-3 inches and mostly rain,snow and sleet?

Two possibilities -- 1) they were caught off guard with the sudden increase in the snow forecast by the NWS in their evening update, or 2) they were not caught off guard but are not buying it. I myself am highly doubtful of the 4" to 7" forecast on the coast and think mixing will be a larger factor and cut these numbers way down.
West Milford NJ

#7
Virgaman

  • Members
  • 3,406 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Poughkeepsie, New York
  • poughkeepsie
  • NY
SO LET ME  get this straight i see 4 to 7 inches just to the south of me in poughkeepsie while I get nothing? or i just dont count?

#8
LongIslandWthr

    #4!

  • Members
  • 4,706 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:LongIsland
  • Brookhaven
  • NY

Quote

SO LET ME  get this straight i see 4 to 7 inches just to the south of me in poughkeepsie while I get nothing? or i just dont count?

Lol! You don't count, sorry lollol
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island

#9
bm55

  • Members
  • 3,093 posts
  • Location:Harriman,ny
  • harriman
  • ny
and i am just barely in the 4-7 range, and to my west there is nothing from central  orange co. to sullivan co. and to my north in ulster co.,nothing. i don't think it is a coast hugger. this is widespread precip. for everyone with that original low to the north and the coastal coming from the south.
total snow and ice 47.5in. (2008-2009)
total snow 88.5" (2009-2010)
total snow 77" (2010-2011)
elevation 780ft.

GIANTS!

90+ days
season: 13
summer:9

10/29 2011- 16"
Jan 17- 1/2"
Jan 21- 5"
Feb 24 -2.5" wet snow
Total snow 2011-2012- 24"

#10
Virgaman

  • Members
  • 3,406 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:Poughkeepsie, New York
  • poughkeepsie
  • NY
the map makes no sense

ok ok i get it longisland lol, screw us upstate people because we burn you on most storms hehehehehe ;)

#11
LongIslandWthr

    #4!

  • Members
  • 4,706 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:LongIsland
  • Brookhaven
  • NY

Quote

the map makes no sense

ok ok i get it longisland lol, screw us upstate people because we burn you on most storms hehehehehe ;)

LOL! Exactly! Don't be greedy, only I am allowed!! lolol
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island

#12
LongIslandWthr

    #4!

  • Members
  • 4,706 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:LongIsland
  • Brookhaven
  • NY
[img width=600 height=389]http://i17.tinypic.com/2drdnb5.jpg[/img]
Happy Virga? Lol
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island

#13
Stormchaser

  • Members
  • 7,578 posts
I would hate to be a couple feet north of the PA/NY border. They'd be looking at bare ground with 5-10" only a block away. JK.

#14
LongIslandWthr

    #4!

  • Members
  • 4,706 posts
  • Gender:Male
  • Location:LongIsland
  • Brookhaven
  • NY

Quote

I would hate to be a couple feet north of the PA/NY border. They'd be looking at bare ground with 5-10" only a block away. JK.

Lol! Leave me alone already! lol
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island

#15
summer

  • Members
  • 1,152 posts
  • Location:Westfield, NJ
  • Westfield
  • NJ
All the mets have taken out of their forecast a change to rain - most are calling for sleet and freezing rain...

#16
kman4life05

  • Members
  • 12 posts

Quote

Yeah I know, I dident feel like putting the pink there LOL
also, with the the low to the west, it will pretty much kill the uniform amount of snow that will fall in PA





1 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 1 guests, 0 anonymous users