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Storms this Weekend


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#1
robbbs

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Slowly drifting thunderstorms are dumping a lot of rain in parts of NJ. Spots in southern Morris County have already received over 2" of rain this evening according to radar composites.
West Milford NJ

#2
icehater

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View Postrobbbs, on Jul 9 2010, 09:37 PM, said:

Slowly drifting thunderstorms are dumping a lot of rain in parts of NJ. Spots in southern Morris County have already received over 2" of rain this evening according to radar composites.

Didn't snowamps area get inundated with a stalled out storm last night?

Warm sultry but cloud free here. 6ths straight night I was in the pool.

One bad sign for tomorrow is that all of the frontal lightning is gone.

http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/severe...m=36hr_svrWatch
Monmouth county NJ

#3
icehater

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View Postrobbbs, on Jul 9 2010, 09:37 PM, said:

Slowly drifting thunderstorms are dumping a lot of rain in parts of NJ. Spots in southern Morris County have already received over 2" of rain this evening according to radar composites.

Seriously Robbbs, I've got to think with a triggering front, high DP airmass and a tropical ULL there have to be some bonanza rain chances that models can't pick up at some point in the next 24 hours. Until that point any lumbering shower or T-storm area from the trop fetch off the gulfstream can also cause localized flooding rains. We'll see.
Monmouth county NJ

#4
robbbs

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View Posticehater, on Jul 10 2010, 01:53 AM, said:

Seriously Robbbs, I've got to think with a triggering front, high DP airmass and a tropical ULL there have to be some bonanza rain chances that models can't pick up at some point in the next 24 hours. Until that point any lumbering shower or T-storm area from the trop fetch off the gulfstream can also cause localized flooding rains. We'll see.

Yep; parts of western and northwestern NJ getting drenched. They're just missing me to the west as they drift from south to north. I expect they'll slowly shift east in time. For now, it's feast or famine for our region with the rain.
West Milford NJ

#5
icehater

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0Z Nam isn't much. Loves central Pa. GFS is similar. This is really all frontal and not picking up the small but intesnse deluges that have formed this evening in western NJ.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_p48_048l.gif
Monmouth county NJ

#6
snowfreak188

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whats up with the winds after this?havent been up on this storm but sunday i have a plan to go on a boat and dont need it to be blowing...
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#7
TatamyPA

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This system is producing some good rains here this morning. I was awakened to some loud claps of thunder and it is pouring here right now. I have already had 0.83" today and have experienced downpours with 2" rates this morning.

#8
forte408

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Pouring out here, and it looks like some good rains are making there way in from the west.

#9
bm55

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Getting a tropical downpour right now, with thunder.
total snow and ice 47.5in. (2008-2009)
total snow 88.5" (2009-2010)
total snow 77" (2010-2011)
elevation 780ft.

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season: 13
summer:9

10/29 2011- 16"
Jan 17- 1/2"
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Total snow 2011-2012- 24"

#10
robbbs

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View Postbm55, on Jul 10 2010, 12:09 PM, said:

Getting a tropical downpour right now, with thunder.

Same here. Rains had been inching this way since last night and have finally arrived. Pouring rain now with thunder.
West Milford NJ

#11
TatamyPA

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Still pouring here. Looks like most of the lightning activity has moved east into NJ. We have had 1.62" of rain so far today and it is continuing to come down.

http://www.strikesta...ndex.aspx?id=40

#12
satellite_eyes

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Absolutely amazing rain right now. We must have 2 inches in less than 1/2 hour. This is actually potentially dangerous. Just starting getting some T & L too.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150'

Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"

2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)

#13
robbbs

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View Postsatellite_eyes, on Jul 10 2010, 12:23 PM, said:

Absolutely amazing rain right now. We must have 2 inches in less than 1/2 hour. This is actually potentially dangerous. Just starting getting some T & L too.

Satellite -- Radar composite shows your area and/or nearby with some 4"+ totals!
West Milford NJ

#14
bm55

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Rec'd 1.30" in about 20 minutes, much needed.
total snow and ice 47.5in. (2008-2009)
total snow 88.5" (2009-2010)
total snow 77" (2010-2011)
elevation 780ft.

GIANTS!

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season: 13
summer:9

10/29 2011- 16"
Jan 17- 1/2"
Jan 21- 5"
Feb 24 -2.5" wet snow
Total snow 2011-2012- 24"

#15
lab94

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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
832 AM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

NJC019-027-035-037-101630-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.Y.0027.100710T1232Z-100710T1630Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX NJ-MORRIS NJ-HUNTERDON NJ-SOMERSET NJ-
832 AM EDT SAT JUL 10 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MORRISTOWN...
SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOMERVILLE...
HUNTERDON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...
SOUTHEASTERN SUSSEX COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1230 PM EDT

* AT 830 AM EDT...HEAVY RAIN WAS CONTINUING TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
FROM THE WEST. MANY LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY AREA WILL RECEIVE
ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP AROUND THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY
RAIN WILL CAUSE FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE AND ALONG SMALL
STREAMS AND CREEKS.
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11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"

#16
satellite_eyes

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Lightened up but we still have thunder. Would not be surprised if we got 3 inches but haven't gone out to look closely at the rain gauge yet.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150'

Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"

2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)

#17
rgwp96

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that line is sure a slow mover
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#18
devilsfan0405

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View Postrgwp96, on Jul 10 2010, 09:50 AM, said:

that line is sure a slow mover

No question. It was in West Jersey about two or three hours ago and is only now getting within 20-30 miles of the NYC area.
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#19
robbbs

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Radar composites now estimating some 5"+ totals in some spots of western NJ.
West Milford NJ

#20
robbbs

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View Posticehater, on Jul 10 2010, 04:11 AM, said:

0Z Nam isn't much. Loves central Pa. GFS is similar. This is really all frontal and not picking up the small but intesnse deluges that have formed this evening in western NJ.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...am_p48_048l.gif

Nam has obviously busted badly. Big precip totals already over parts of NJ and radar shows the entire band of heavy rain much further east than modeled on the nam. Judging by radar, there is much more rain to come over much of our area that has already received significant rain totals.
West Milford NJ





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