65 replies to this topic

[jfar57]

Ok boys and girls....whats coming next? Sunday? Rain? Snow? Ice storm...we are overdue for one of those.

[LongIslandCoastalWx]

Brief warm up followed by a cold frontal passage and probably more cold, and possible storminess after that.

[metfan4life]

LongIslandCoastalWx, on Dec 28 2010, 11:29 AM, said:

Brief warm up followed by a cold frontal passage and probably more cold, and possible storminess after that.

I see a lot of people like the 2nd week of Jan for a big storm.

[KingsParkWx]

metfan4life, on Dec 28 2010, 11:33 AM, said:

I see a lot of people like the 2nd week of Jan for a big storm.

I'm a little skeptical on that one. That's prime time for january thaw in my opinion. I'm thinking we get a little relief from winter's wrath for at least a few weeks after New Year's. No blowtorch or anything extreme like that. What's the NAO's status going into the next few weeks?

[LongIslandCoastalWx]

metfan4life, on Dec 28 2010, 11:33 AM, said:

I see a lot of people like the 2nd week of Jan for a big storm.

Both the Euro and GFS Emsembles take the -NAO block and retrograde it again into North Central Canada by days 8-10

[GameOfLove]

Looks like the warm up may not be as warm as predicted. NWS dropped the temps to the low 40s in my area and NYC to the mid 40s. Maybe crack 50 in Central NJ.

[Mike_The_Golfer]

GameOfLove, on Dec 28 2010, 12:27 PM, said:

Looks like the warm up may not be as warm as predicted. NWS dropped the temps to the low 40s in my area and NYC to the mid 40s. Maybe crack 50 in Central NJ.

Well, the snowpack will also have an effect on that.

[weathergeek87]

Yeah..after this blizzard..how ridiculous yet awesome would it be if we got another one similar if not stronger then this last one sometime in early Jan!? You never know!!

[terryjohnson16]

heat wave?

[metfan4life]

terryjohnson16, on Dec 28 2010, 04:46 PM, said:

heat wave?

Yep

























In July

[LongIslandCoastalWx]

We really have to watch late next week into the weekend.

We'll have energy coming out of the southwest, with energy rotating around a PV in Canada. If the -NAO retrograde happens again (many of the models and ensembles hint at this) then we'll have to watch for any potential interaction with the two streams.

Nothing can happen too, so at this point, we should be looking at the players, and seeing where (if they) set up on the playing field.

I like this time frame so far.

[weatherbowl]

Looks like the new year comes in quiet. An early January thaw.

[metfan4life]

A lot of people like the 4th-12 timeframe for another big storm a long the coast. The gulf looks like it will be open for business.

weatherbowl, on Dec 29 2010, 10:16 AM, said:

Looks like the new year comes in quiet. An early January thaw.

2 days

[metfan4life]

[weatherbowl]

metfan4life, on Dec 29 2010, 11:26 AM, said:

A lot of people like the 4th-12 timeframe for another big storm a long the coast. The gulf looks like it will be open for business.




2 days

With the cold we've been having 40 degrees seems like a thaw and maybe beach weather.

[metfan4life]

weatherbowl, on Dec 29 2010, 11:28 AM, said:

With the cold we've been having 40 degrees seems like a thaw and maybe beach weather.

Be my guest and go swimming.

[robbbs]

GameOfLove, on Dec 28 2010, 06:27 PM, said:

Looks like the warm up may not be as warm as predicted. NWS dropped the temps to the low 40s in my area and NYC to the mid 40s. Maybe crack 50 in Central NJ.

I wouldn't downplay the warm-up. NWS forecasts have busted badly both yesterday and today, with temps higher than forecast. Already today, many places are in the 40's in NJ at 11:00 am and climbing. My temp is 32 but will probably reach the upper 30's (reached 35 here yesterday despite a forecast high in the upper 20's). I don't think 50's are out of the question even for NYC this weekend and no days are forecast to have highs below freezing for at least a week. Shame to have a nice snowpack and lose much of it.

[weatherbowl]

robbbs, on Dec 29 2010, 12:39 PM, said:

I wouldn't downplay the warm-up. NWS forecasts have busted badly both yesterday and today, with temps higher than forecast. Already today, many places are in the 40's in NJ at 11:00 am and climbing. My temp is 32 but will probably reach the upper 30's (reached 35 here yesterday despite a forecast high in the upper 20's). I don't think 50's are out of the question even for NYC this weekend and no days are forecast to have highs below freezing for at least a week. Shame to have a nice snowpack and lose much of it.

There is no arctic air for a while. Even though it is messy, I like lots of snow on the ground and mild temperatures.

[Stormchaser]

Take a look at the effect of snow pack on temps. Generally mid/upper 30s from Philly to Boston, mid to upper 40s in DC where they had basically nothing, and low 40s in Raleigh where they had a bit more than DC.

I'm at 37 right now with a solid 25" snow cover still.

[terryjohnson16]

We need a major warm up, with temps in the 50s, or 60s. I can't wait for Spring.