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#1
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:07 AM
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- Location:Port Matilda, PA
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#2
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:10 AM
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- Location:Perth Amboy, NJ ----(200 yds. from Raritan Bay, elevation 60')
- Perth_Amboy
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Jim, you see at least an inch reaching that far north? FD
2011-2012 Accumulating Snow and Ice
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
#3
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:11 AM
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wow jim your pretty north with this one, but you know weather way better than me lol
can you nudge that 1 to 3 about 15 miles more north?
can you nudge that 1 to 3 about 15 miles more north?
#4
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:14 AM
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- Location:Port Matilda, PA
I intentionally went farther north than model QPF. 500 mb confluence is north of the area and I wouldn't be surprised to see the moisture end up a little farther north than progged. BTW, 1 inch is far, far more likely than 3.
--Jim
www.facebook.com/jimrin1967
www.facebook.com/jimrin1967
#5
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:16 AM
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#6
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:16 AM
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- Location:Poughkeepsie, New York
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Jimrin1967, on Feb 21 2011, 04:14 PM, said:
I intentionally went farther north than model QPF. 500 mb confluence is north of the area and I wouldn't be surprised to see the moisture end up a little farther north than progged. BTW, 1 inch is far, far more likely than 3.
no complaints if i get an inch out of this second wave, it would be a pleasant surprise because i was thinking the farthest snow would be is central jersey so would be nice to get another inch up here.
#7
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:16 AM
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- Location:Perth Amboy, NJ ----(200 yds. from Raritan Bay, elevation 60')
- Perth_Amboy
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Jimrin1967, on Feb 21 2011, 10:14 AM, said:
I intentionally went farther north than model QPF. 500 mb confluence is north of the area and I wouldn't be surprised to see the moisture end up a little farther north than progged. BTW, 1 inch is far, far more likely than 3.
OK, thanks for the insight. FD
2011-2012 Accumulating Snow and Ice
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
#8
Posted 21 February 2011 - 10:24 AM
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Latest Ruc has the 2nd wave north. NYC sees light to moderate snow while the
heaviest falls in SNJ.
Also, the latest HRR also trended northward.
heaviest falls in SNJ.
Also, the latest HRR also trended northward.
LETS GO METS
#9
Posted 21 February 2011 - 03:42 PM
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- Location:scranton, PA(work) and Dunellen, NJ(home)
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I dont know if its going to effect us and i dont know how much is reaching the ground. But def looks little north then models had it...
http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php
http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php
-----Jan 1996 Blizzard
#10
Posted 21 February 2011 - 04:05 PM
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njblizzard, on Feb 21 2011, 03:42 PM, said:
I dont know if its going to effect us and i dont know how much is reaching the ground. But def looks little north then models had it...
http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php
http://radar.weather...theast_loop.php
I think a lot of the northern part is virga. Also the winds have picked up here and the DPT is now down to 18. Think the dry air is going to win here
Visit My Weather Station
station info on Weather Underground
Lab's Radar
Elevation 784'
11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"
station info on Weather Underground
Lab's Radar
Elevation 784'
11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"
#11
Posted 21 February 2011 - 04:19 PM
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Upton says this low is weakening as it comes east, sees only flurries for my area and best case scenario a coating to an inch.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island
#12
Posted 21 February 2011 - 04:50 PM
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radar does look pretty impressive and actually is lining up to jims map in my opinion
#13
Posted 21 February 2011 - 05:07 PM
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Pay attention to the dewpoints this evening. Mine has free-falled from 30 down to 11 in the past 4 1/2 hrs. Dewpoints in other areas of northern NJ have dropped into the teens this afternoon. This will serve to reinforce that sharp cutoff of the precip - probably not too far to the north of the PA Tpke as you go east from Harrisburg to NJ.
#14
Posted 21 February 2011 - 05:14 PM
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TatamyPA, on Feb 21 2011, 05:07 PM, said:
Pay attention to the dewpoints this evening. Mine has free-falled from 30 down to 11 in the past 4 1/2 hrs. Dewpoints in other areas of northern NJ have dropped into the teens this afternoon. This will serve to reinforce that sharp cutoff of the precip - probably not too far to the north of the PA Tpke as you go east from Harrisburg to NJ.
My DP holding steady at 20, temp down to 29.8
EDIT- quickly dropping temps.
#15
Posted 21 February 2011 - 05:52 PM
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I think the idea is the cold air is going to push the snow off to the south as it approaches our area. We shall see.
Eastern Nassau County, Long Island
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