8 replies to this topic

[Jimrin1967]

[robbbs]

Love those ULL disturbances. Good dynamics and always a surprise possible. Good luck with it in State College, Jim. When was the last time your area saw a 2" to 4" snowfall?

[Jimrin1967]

robbbs, on Jan 11 2012, 06:21 PM, said:

Love those ULL disturbances. Good dynamics and always a surprise possible. Good luck with it in State College, Jim. When was the last time your area saw a 2" to 4" snowfall?

I had about 2.5 or 3 with the October storm.

[robbbs]

Jimrin1967, on Jan 11 2012, 11:27 PM, said:

I had about 2.5 or 3 with the October storm.

Wow; it's been that long. Same here actually -- after the October snowstorm, I've had a total of only 1" of snow since.

[NittanyLion]

We could be looking at a pretty significant upslope snow event late Friday and Friday night here along the western slopes of the Green Mountains (similar to December 28th event). Haven't looked into it too much as I have been off the past couple of days, but will certainly make an interesting next few days at the office.

[robbbs]

NittanyLion, on Jan 11 2012, 11:35 PM, said:

We could be looking at a pretty significant upslope snow event late Friday and Friday night here along the western slopes of the Green Mountains (similar to December 28th event). Haven't looked into it too much as I have been off the past couple of days, but will certainly make an interesting next few days at the office.

Tonight and tomorrow could be interesting in the high country up north also. Didn't pay too much attention to it as it's out of our realm. However, I think the nam has been trending warmer while the gfs is colder. A lot of snow lovers in central and northern New England are nervous as the model differences amount to a foot of snow for some versus some slush followed by a lot rain, depending on which model verifies. Again, that was based on just a quick glance at the modeling so I could be off.

[NittanyLion]

robbbs, on Jan 11 2012, 06:44 PM, said:

Tonight and tomorrow could be interesting in the high country up north also. Didn't pay too much attention to it as it's out of our realm. However, I think the nam has been trending warmer while the gfs is colder. A lot of snow lovers in central and northern New England are nervous as the model differences amount to a foot of snow for some versus some slush followed by a lot rain, depending on which model verifies. Again, that was based on just a quick glance at the modeling so I could be off.

At least way up in northern Vermont the QPF isn't expected to be that high, so I think we're looking at 3-6" (2-4" way north along the CAN border) of snow followed by some light freezing drizzly type stuff. Then that arctic cold front and ULL blows through with some rain and snow squalls on Friday followed by potential upslope snows Friday evening and night.

Now in central and southern Vermont as well as points east across NH and ME, its more tricky as the QPF is higher but the threat of freezing rain and sleet mixing increases substantially as well.

[isobar65]

There is potential for high wind event here on Friday, due to the tight pressure gradient as indicted on the
NAM earlier this afternoon.

[NittanyLion]

4.1" at the office, 6.5" here in Jonesville, and some 8"+ readings out there as well.