6 replies to this topic

[Beetlejuice]

Just wondering what the long range is showing. Bill said it would be near 50 on Friday. How does the 1st week of March look at this point?

[icehater]

It looks like typical late Feb and early March. Mainly normal temps with a few warm-up days and a few colder days. No big snowstorm are on the horizon and the flow is more or less zonal which is why it won't get real mild or real cold. Rain storm at end of week than colder for two days and then topsy turvy after that. Keep in mind that 45-50 is normal now so a high of 50 now is like a high of 40 in January.  Don't expect any late season gifts out of this winter.

[isobar65]

Ice,  totally agree with you in regards in not seeing any late season gifts this winter.

[bzimmer]

Hi Ice....nice to meet you...I'm new to the board....love winter and weather......I think that you Storm and Robbs are the best.
I know what i'm about to ask is total speculation [ which makes all of this fun ] but the other day Storm talked about a slight to moderate La Nina maybe going into next winter.......do you see the same???...would love to hear your opinion.

[icehater]

Quote

Hi Ice....nice to meet you...I'm new to the board....love winter and weather......I think that you Storm and Robbs are the best.
I know what i'm about to ask is total speculation [ which makes all of this fun ] but the other day Storm talked about a slight to moderate La Nina maybe going into next winter.......do you see the same???...would love to hear your opinion.

I'm not into stidying the LT, at least not that far LT,  the way Storm does. If he said that, then with the research he does, I'm sure there's a good basis for it.

[rcad1]

so ice what your saying is we can go ahead and put the final nail in the coffin on this horriable winter or are you not going that far yet.  im not a proffesional but i think this might have been our last snowfall this winter what do you think

[icehater]

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so ice what your saying is we can go ahead and put the final nail in the coffin on this horriable winter or are you not going that far yet.  im not a proffesional but i think this might have been our last snowfall this winter what do you think

Unless there is a great storm of interest - like the 1993 superstorm, or a real version of March 2001 etc - I'm not going to waste my time on these storms that have unusual "snow" synoptics (like yesterdays storm) or are too borderline. March storms can alter from rain to snow and back quite often and many times it comes down to how heavy precip is falling. Right now I don't see anything borderline or big on the horizon so it's almost done and if it was my choice I'd put the fork in this winter right now. But 1982 was a warm March followed by an April blizzard so you just never know. Regardless - if winter doesn't produce a storm soon or produce an unusually long cold pattern (like the 10 days that followed the 93 storm) then we'll be dealing with any snow event as a here today, gone tomorrow event. That's why mid December to mid February is such a crucial period as the snow stays around or has the potential to stay around for so long. There's a reason why Meteorological winter is dead after another week, particularly at our lat/long, as 45-50 temps with rapidly lengthening days are a totally different feel than 45-50 degree days that are rapidly shortening in late November and early December.

With all that said I must say that in my area, almost localized to my street, we've had snow on the ground for quite a long period now. It actually almost rivals the length of days with ground snow cover in winters that produced much greater snowfall than this one did. That's a testament to the continuous cold we've had since January 15th as the snowfall has certainly been disappointing and an insult to that tyoe of cold. What's even worse is we had some of the coldest temps at the time of the biggest storm and got 10-25 degree sleet instead of snow. Just not a winter to tell your grandkids about.