←  Greater NYC Area Weather Discussion

NYC Metro Weather Forums

»

Eta Long Term Track

mrain01's Photo mrain01 03 Nov 2020

Anyone have any thoughts or projections on whether Eta can effect the NE after re-entering Caribbean?
Quote

satellite_eyes's Photo satellite_eyes 03 Nov 2020

never say never but the models show a lot of strong high pressure over the east for the most part over the next 10-12 days. After that it's remnants may get absorbed on a cold front.
Quote

carribeanpirate's Photo carribeanpirate 03 Nov 2020

Reports from here talk about the high pressure building in and pushing Eta away from the peninsula and into the panhandle. I can live with that, not wanting any destruction for anyone.
Quote

satellite_eyes's Photo satellite_eyes 04 Nov 2020

GFS (which has been good with these tropical systems this year) now has it forecasted to sit all around/over FL for like a week (in some form), blocked off by HP.
Quote

carribeanpirate's Photo carribeanpirate 04 Nov 2020

View Postsatellite_eyes, on 04 November 2020 - 01:25 PM, said:

GFS (which has been good with these tropical systems this year) now has it forecasted to sit all around/over FL for like a week (in some form), blocked off by HP.

Hearing I-4 is the cutoff. For perspective, I-4 runs from Tampa to Daytona Beach. Hoping it stays a bit further south, I am about 1 mile north of I-4
Quote

satellite_eyes's Photo satellite_eyes 04 Nov 2020

Oh yeh I know I-4 Iíve been to Tampa and Orlando many times. Way too soon to know cut off but makes sense that there will be a sharp one somewhere in FL. The 6pm run actually shifted south I believe. Still several days of tracking though.
Quote

carribeanpirate's Photo carribeanpirate 05 Nov 2020

View Postsatellite_eyes, on 04 November 2020 - 09:24 PM, said:

Oh yeh I know I-4 I've been to Tampa and Orlando many times. Way too soon to know cut off but makes sense that there will be a sharp one somewhere in FL. The 6pm run actually shifted south I believe. Still several days of tracking though.

I've only been in my house for 4 months, south is better!
Quote

satellite_eyes's Photo satellite_eyes 05 Nov 2020

12Z GFS brings it into the gulf after some heavy bands in most of FL (nothing drastic). Once again it gets absorbed into a CF. Doesn't develop into anything big outside of heavy rain. Aside from this the west looks pretty active.
Quote

satellite_eyes's Photo satellite_eyes 06 Nov 2020

GFS showing a stronger system now over southern FL before it starts to fizzle out. But then puts it back in the gulf afterwards. Will be interesting to watch.
Quote

carribeanpirate's Photo carribeanpirate 08 Nov 2020

Pretty windy here today, probably 30-40 mph gusts. Supposed to continue through tomorrow then ease up. Interested to see how it affects the Masters late week/weekend.
Quote