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Storm Totals: 1-3" Coast, 3" City, 3-6" N & W, 6-12"+ far N & W,
All aspect of remote sensing right now are very impresive...radar, water vapor, in addition to impressive surface readings coming out of the observations (thanks to the surging cold air southward).
Bg concern over the intitial precip, which has come in very fast in a warm advection regime. Also a concern is where the pprecip type sets up, that will effect snow totals, but more importantly set up an extensive sleet area and a narrow freezing rain area.
Concern 3 is how quickly the low wraps up, drawing cold airin, whcih can change teh precip type back to snow from west to east, accumulating a few additional inches, especially north of the city.
Another pointis the ice p-type which will be very important, sleet vs. feeezing rain, as freezing rain will create more havoc. However, the good news is the airmass if very cold and dry and the predominate ice p-type will be sleet.
He originaly said 1 - 3 for NYC! Now its 3....this is a slight give in but Bill is solid on his stance that this will be a bust.
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#2
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:29 AM
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he said 3in for the city i just wrote that hes playing it way to conservative but w/e he can make that call and he will probably be wrong!!!
New York Giants!
10-11 total snowfall-58.0"
09-10 total snowfall-55.5"
08-09 total snowfall-43.3"
1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)
10-11 total snowfall-58.0"
09-10 total snowfall-55.5"
08-09 total snowfall-43.3"
1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)
#3
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:31 AM
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- Location:Cedar Grove, NJ
- Cedar_Grove
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Quote
he said 3in for the city i just wrote that hes playing it way to conservative but w/e he can make that call and he will probably be wrong!!!
I guess he figures it's better to low-ball it than to call for a monster storm and have it fizzle out.
Cedar Grove, New Jersey (Essex County)
Lets Go, Devils!
Let's Go, Giants!
February 25-26, 2010...THE BEAST OF THE EAST STRIKES! 15" FOR THE GROVE!!! THE OLD SIGNATURE IS FINALLY RETIRED!
Lets Go, Devils!
Let's Go, Giants!
February 25-26, 2010...THE BEAST OF THE EAST STRIKES! 15" FOR THE GROVE!!! THE OLD SIGNATURE IS FINALLY RETIRED!
#4
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:33 AM
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He already went from rain to sleet in city. He is being very arrogant on this one. Doesn't leave any room for swaying or a wacky run more eastward. God Ihope he is wrong....we should go back in there just to hold him acoountable should this thing be more than the 3 inches in the city he is predicting. Don't forget he originaly called for this thing to go south...said he was basing it on the seasons tendencies for storms to go south of us.
#5
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:44 AM
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- Location:Oak Ridge NJ
- Oak_Ridge
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Visit My Weather Station
station info on Weather Underground
Lab's Radar
Elevation 784'
11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"
station info on Weather Underground
Lab's Radar
Elevation 784'
11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"
#6
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:45 AM
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- Location:Jefferson, NJ 07849
- Lake_Hopatcong
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hate to say it but twc has seriously downgraded this. for my area it was 6-14 total now 1-3 and just heavy frzg rain tomorrow. yes i know it's just twc but that is pretty alarming.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150'
Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)
Elevation 1150'
Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)
#7
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:46 AM
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LOL!!! TWC they make me laugh!!! now later they will probably change it back
New York Giants!
10-11 total snowfall-58.0"
09-10 total snowfall-55.5"
08-09 total snowfall-43.3"
1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)
10-11 total snowfall-58.0"
09-10 total snowfall-55.5"
08-09 total snowfall-43.3"
1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)
#8
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:55 AM
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- Location:Perth Amboy, NJ ----(200 yds. from Raritan Bay, elevation 60')
- Perth_Amboy
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Check out this exchange - is our dear Bill in denial, or what? Geez.
Bill screamerchris 2/13/07 11:39 AM
I am not doubting your credibility or commitment,but the board is a mess,their is no control,order or credible people on it,
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Bill answers:
That's not true. Period.
The board is moderated. It is an open forum. You may not like the people on here at the moment, or the people you like may have left, but that's for other reasons than the fact that this board is our of control or not moderated properly.
The board is an open forum. Open to everyone.
Bill Evans
Bill screamerchris 2/13/07 11:39 AM
I am not doubting your credibility or commitment,but the board is a mess,their is no control,order or credible people on it,
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Bill answers:
That's not true. Period.
The board is moderated. It is an open forum. You may not like the people on here at the moment, or the people you like may have left, but that's for other reasons than the fact that this board is our of control or not moderated properly.
The board is an open forum. Open to everyone.
Bill Evans
2011-2012 Accumulating Snow and Ice
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
#9
Posted 13 February 2007 - 11:58 AM
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#10
Posted 13 February 2007 - 12:05 PM
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thats me debating him,pretty pathetic that he is actually arguing w/me,but i guess he knows i am right thats why he is so defensive...............period...lol
#11
Posted 13 February 2007 - 12:24 PM
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- Location:Jefferson, NJ 07849
- Lake_Hopatcong
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did you see bill's last post? (12:10 pm)
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150'
Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)
Elevation 1150'
Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)
#12
Posted 13 February 2007 - 12:28 PM
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- Location:Oak Ridge NJ
- Oak_Ridge
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Look at this , says weathergeek and those how left were the trolls
http://forums.go.com/abclocal/WABC/message...180&start=0
http://forums.go.com/abclocal/WABC/message...180&start=0
Visit My Weather Station
station info on Weather Underground
Lab's Radar
Elevation 784'
11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"
station info on Weather Underground
Lab's Radar
Elevation 784'
11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"
#13
Posted 13 February 2007 - 12:33 PM
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Keith
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- Location:Boonton, NJ
Quote
hate to say it but twc has seriously downgraded this. for my area it was 6-14 total now 1-3 and just heavy frzg rain tomorrow. yes i know it's just twc but that is pretty alarming.
TWC had Sparta at 1-2 last night for the storm and now it's 1-3. They are a lost cause.
Elevation 605 ft.
#14
Posted 13 February 2007 - 12:34 PM
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- Location:washington nj(warren county)
- washington
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Quote
Look at this , says weathergeek and those how left were the trolls
http://forums.go.com/abclocal/WABC/message...180&start=0
http://forums.go.com/abclocal/WABC/message...180&start=0
well he has the ips of the imposters and matches them up to whoever.
Location : Washington, NJ(warren county)
#15
Posted 13 February 2007 - 01:24 PM
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Capt. Nick
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- Woodhaven
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wow thers a moderator posting on 7online forum...it says (admin) next to his display name...little to late bill! lol
Woodhaven - Queens
"The guys are busy; you're in charge. And Ya know what? You're a goddam captain! You can't be good unless you love it" - The Perfect Storm
"The guys are busy; you're in charge. And Ya know what? You're a goddam captain! You can't be good unless you love it" - The Perfect Storm
#16
Posted 13 February 2007 - 01:29 PM
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- Location:washington nj(warren county)
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Quote
Author: wabc_moderator reply
I would say about 6-7pm at the earliest, maybe more like 8-9pm for sure.
Bill Evans
Posted: 2/13/07 1:06 PM
I would say about 6-7pm at the earliest, maybe more like 8-9pm for sure.
Bill Evans
Posted: 2/13/07 1:06 PM
its still bill unless this is another imposter.
Location : Washington, NJ(warren county)
#17
Posted 13 February 2007 - 01:31 PM
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Capt. Nick
- Gender:Male
- Location:Woodhaven,NY
- Woodhaven
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yeah i think its bill...i guess theres gonan be some else besides him on there from time to time so he made a moderate name
Woodhaven - Queens
"The guys are busy; you're in charge. And Ya know what? You're a goddam captain! You can't be good unless you love it" - The Perfect Storm
"The guys are busy; you're in charge. And Ya know what? You're a goddam captain! You can't be good unless you love it" - The Perfect Storm
#18
Posted 13 February 2007 - 01:39 PM
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Keith
- Gender:Male
- Location:Boonton, NJ
Quote
wow thers a moderator posting on 7online forum...it says (admin) next to his display name...little to late bill! lol
That's hilarious. Bill really seems very arrogant, especially in his posts on that board. That arrogance is what indirectly cost him to lose the best posters on that board because he just didn't want to listen to the peasants and do anything to show that he gave a crap about that board. First real storm and he would love to have his big following and now it's not there. I guess he feels bad so he added another screen name to show that there in fact is a moderator (I have my doubts). You are right, too little too late. This board just swiped 95% of the quality members of that board.
Elevation 605 ft.
#19
Posted 13 February 2007 - 02:01 PM
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- Location:Perth Amboy, NJ ----(200 yds. from Raritan Bay, elevation 60')
- Perth_Amboy
- NJ
Bill didn't post from last Friday at noon until Sunday evening at around 8PM so he didn't see all the garbage going on.
People are making up names and pulling his chain - and he's getting testy. Check out this exchange from a phony "Rod Sterlington."
Re: Re: Bill - Morning/Afternoon Update? Author: Rod_Sterlington
He will come on here and say he had to do the responsible thing and call it 1 - 3 but then have to change etc. The responsible thing is to say the truth that this is a heck of a thing to call and say that they really can't predict this thing until it gets going. A few years ago all the METS called for this mega 30 inch wet snow event that petered out to 2 inches...thing was like this one it had all the dynamics of tanking or not tanking. Then all the METS came on and did a two step. I just wish that with storms like this everyone not start calling out numbers until we get close. And say if you were wrong...don't hide behind the models or the complexity of the storm.
Posted: 2/13/07 10:33 AM
Re: Re: Bill - Morning/Afternoon Update? Author: Bevans777
We don't hide behind anything.
The storm you were referring to was in March of 2001 and a totally diffent storm from this one.
This forecast is what we expect, we may be an inch low, if there is more on the back end. But that's it.
I don't make excuses, I never have. You obviously know nothing about me. I've been doing this 30 years, nearly 20 of that in New York City. You don't work here that long if you're a blowviator like yourself.
Bill Evans
Posted: 2/13/07 11:14 AM
People are making up names and pulling his chain - and he's getting testy. Check out this exchange from a phony "Rod Sterlington."
Re: Re: Bill - Morning/Afternoon Update? Author: Rod_Sterlington
He will come on here and say he had to do the responsible thing and call it 1 - 3 but then have to change etc. The responsible thing is to say the truth that this is a heck of a thing to call and say that they really can't predict this thing until it gets going. A few years ago all the METS called for this mega 30 inch wet snow event that petered out to 2 inches...thing was like this one it had all the dynamics of tanking or not tanking. Then all the METS came on and did a two step. I just wish that with storms like this everyone not start calling out numbers until we get close. And say if you were wrong...don't hide behind the models or the complexity of the storm.
Posted: 2/13/07 10:33 AM
Re: Re: Bill - Morning/Afternoon Update? Author: Bevans777
We don't hide behind anything.
The storm you were referring to was in March of 2001 and a totally diffent storm from this one.
This forecast is what we expect, we may be an inch low, if there is more on the back end. But that's it.
I don't make excuses, I never have. You obviously know nothing about me. I've been doing this 30 years, nearly 20 of that in New York City. You don't work here that long if you're a blowviator like yourself.
Bill Evans
Posted: 2/13/07 11:14 AM
2011-2012 Accumulating Snow and Ice
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
October 29: 3.0 inches
January 21 - 3.1 inches
February 8 - 0.75 inches
February 11 - 0.5 Inches
Total to-date - 7.4 inches
Lowest temperature -- January 4: 10 F
#20
Posted 13 February 2007 - 02:05 PM
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Keith
- Gender:Male
- Location:Boonton, NJ
Quote
Bill didn't post from last Friday at noon until Sunday evening at around 8PM so he didn't see all the garbage going on.
But there were many times when people complained about the jackasses on that board (Fastmove, etc) and he did NOTHING about it and they reappeared anytime a storm was on the horizon, and people complained and he poo-poo'd it every time. Now his board is nothing but an archaic piece of trash.
Elevation 605 ft.
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