Just listened at length to Alan Kasper - this is no major snowstorm and even the hype about after snow Wedmesday afternoon seems to be overblown.. Kasper just said most areas see an inch or two at most... Most of the precipitation will turn to rain or mixed precp. in most of NJ by dawn tomorrow. Coastal NJ sees almost all rain - they have a flood watch in effect- Since the models shifted on Sunday early this as been a no-event for most of the area - will some people get hit hard yes - but the only surprise we have seen from this storm is that there are very few surprises and I do not anticipate many for tomorrow despite the complexity of the storm... Sorry folks this is my call based on everything I have seen and read for the last two days....
This is turning out like has been forecast since Sunday...
Started by summer, Feb 13 2007 04:30 PM
#1
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:30 PM
#2
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:31 PM
Could turn out that way but I certianly wouldn't set anything in stone...this is a complex and dynamic storm system.
Cedar Grove, New Jersey (Essex County)
Lets Go, Devils!
Let's Go, Giants!
February 25-26, 2010...THE BEAST OF THE EAST STRIKES! 15" FOR THE GROVE!!! THE OLD SIGNATURE IS FINALLY RETIRED!
Lets Go, Devils!
Let's Go, Giants!
February 25-26, 2010...THE BEAST OF THE EAST STRIKES! 15" FOR THE GROVE!!! THE OLD SIGNATURE IS FINALLY RETIRED!
#3
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:39 PM
BIG TIME EGG ON THEIR FACES! Just wait..I can feel it!
#4
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:41 PM
with the new models wut is it looking like for western suffolk LI.... snow day???
#5
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:42 PM
Quote
Just listened at length to Alan Kasper - this is no major snowstorm and even the hype about after snow Wedmesday afternoon seems to be overblown.. Kasper just said most areas see an inch or two at most... Most of the precipitation will turn to rain or mixed precp. in most of NJ by dawn tomorrow. Coastal NJ sees almost all rain - they have a flood watch in effect- Since the models shifted on Sunday early this as been a no-event for most of the area - will some people get hit hard yes - but the only surprise we have seen from this storm is that there are very few surprises and I do not anticipate many for tomorrow despite the complexity of the storm... Sorry folks this is my call based on everything I have seen and read for the last two days....
Yet Mt. Holly just upped totals for my area to 15-20 inches within the last hour.

Elevation 605 ft.
#6
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:43 PM
Negative and negative! only really post about it being warm or us not having a storm.
#7
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:44 PM
Quote
Just listened at length to Alan Kasper - this is no major snowstorm and even the hype about after snow Wedmesday afternoon seems to be overblown.. Kasper just said most areas see an inch or two at most... Most of the precipitation will turn to rain or mixed precp. in most of NJ by dawn tomorrow. Coastal NJ sees almost all rain - they have a flood watch in effect- Since the models shifted on Sunday early this as been a no-event for most of the area - will some people get hit hard yes - but the only surprise we have seen from this storm is that there are very few surprises and I do not anticipate many for tomorrow despite the complexity of the storm... Sorry folks this is my call based on everything I have seen and read for the last two days....
wrong in so many way, I wonder why you even post
#8
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:44 PM
#9
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:46 PM
::)
#10
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:48 PM
Just a thought but she sounds just like the troll on the other board HMMMMMMMMM I WONDER????
CHESTER NJ WESTERN MORRIS COUNTY
#11
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:53 PM
obvoiusly i hope you guys are right but when you have guys like craig allen and bill evans saying a general 3-6 and maybe 3 for nyc you have to take that seriously, whether you want to hear it or not.
Lake Hopatcong, NJ (NW Morris County)
Elevation 1150'
Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)
Elevation 1150'
Snow Stats
2011-2012 Winter - 26.9" Min Temp +5
Average Snow: 50"
2010-2011 Winter - 62.3" Min Temp -6
2009-2010 Winter - 55.5" (Hackettstown)
#12
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:55 PM
My point is not that some areas won't get a lot of snow just that most of the area within 25 miles of the NYC will not see much out of this and I would appreciate it if you allow me to express my opinon and show some respect I never ever ever attack anyone else but you guys disagree with my post which is just an opinion and never ever attacks anyone else and you attack me personally and call me the troll.. Yea I am the troll because my opinion disagrees with your - come on guys grow up...
#13
Posted 13 February 2007 - 04:57 PM
Thanks Satellite,
Alan Kasper not evans or allen stated very clearly how this thing probably will play out and I get called the troll because my opinion is different and mind you I did not say anything negative or attacking anyone else...
Alan Kasper not evans or allen stated very clearly how this thing probably will play out and I get called the troll because my opinion is different and mind you I did not say anything negative or attacking anyone else...
#14
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:00 PM
Summer,
I agree. This is not a big snow event for the coast -- at least as of right now. I think 3-6" total for NYC sounds good -- they should remain all frozen precip with very little in the way of liquid. NW of I-95 is going to have a heck of a storm -- wind, snow, sleet, freezing rain, then back to heavy snow -- over a foot for NW NJ possible. One to two feet up the appalachains. Uncertainty factors remaining: 1) When does the secondary low become dominant, 2) Does it intensify further SE than progged? 3) How quickly the 850mb low weakens and transfers its energy (appears to be occuring already) Nowcasting event for sure.
I agree. This is not a big snow event for the coast -- at least as of right now. I think 3-6" total for NYC sounds good -- they should remain all frozen precip with very little in the way of liquid. NW of I-95 is going to have a heck of a storm -- wind, snow, sleet, freezing rain, then back to heavy snow -- over a foot for NW NJ possible. One to two feet up the appalachains. Uncertainty factors remaining: 1) When does the secondary low become dominant, 2) Does it intensify further SE than progged? 3) How quickly the 850mb low weakens and transfers its energy (appears to be occuring already) Nowcasting event for sure.
#15
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:03 PM
Thank god i am 26 miles away from NYC. BTW, wassup with sat always defend summer.. ;)
-----Jan 1996 Blizzard
#16
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:03 PM
Storm,
Nothing there I disagree with - I was quoting a respected met and get called negative? - I never every ever attack someone or call them any names and yet when I quote and give facts I get attacked - very unfair and this morning when Craig Allen was being more positive about snow I was the first poster to post this information and stated I could be wrong... Did one of you guys say thanks Summer for being balanced and giving both viewpoints?
Nothing there I disagree with - I was quoting a respected met and get called negative? - I never every ever attack someone or call them any names and yet when I quote and give facts I get attacked - very unfair and this morning when Craig Allen was being more positive about snow I was the first poster to post this information and stated I could be wrong... Did one of you guys say thanks Summer for being balanced and giving both viewpoints?
#17
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:04 PM
Blizzard,
why would satellite not defend me when I have stated nothing wrong..
why would satellite not defend me when I have stated nothing wrong..
#18
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:04 PM
Quote
Thanks Satellite,
Alan Kasper not evans or allen stated very clearly how this thing probably will play out and I get called the troll because my opinion is different and mind you I did not say anything negative or attacking anyone else...
Alan Kasper not evans or allen stated very clearly how this thing probably will play out and I get called the troll because my opinion is different and mind you I did not say anything negative or attacking anyone else...
When you have a pack mentality with 99% of the people (100% other than you) routing on this impending snowstorm and you come on here and arrogantly state basically that 'it's not going to happen' in the tone that you write in then you are being perceived as an agitator. That is why you get the responses you get. Maybe if you worded your posts a little more selectively it wouldn't be taken as being so negative or agitating.

Elevation 605 ft.
#19
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:06 PM
Respect your opinion but do not agree that I showed any disrespect for anyone... I would love a snow day tomorrow too and love the snow but I also feel as though you have the right to call them like you see them
#20
Posted 13 February 2007 - 05:09 PM
Quote
Respect your opinion but do not agree that I showed any disrespect for anyone... I would love a snow day tomorrow too and love the snow but I also feel as though you have the right to call them like you see them
If you are a snow lover then enjoy at least the possibility of it and stop being so negative this early when you really don't know. We can be angry at the storm after it passes together (if it busts), then you will have plenty of support, believe me.

Elevation 605 ft.
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