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Forecast Lows are Wacky


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#1
robbbs

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I'm sitting at 54 degrees at 7:00 pm, yet the NWS forecast low by morning for my area is for the mid 20's. No way am I dropping 30 degrees between now and sunrise.
West Milford NJ

#2
icehater

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View Postrobbbs, on Apr 15 2008, 07:01 PM, said:

I'm sitting at 54 degrees at 7:00 pm, yet the NWS forecast low by morning for my area is for the mid 20's. No way am I dropping 30 degrees between now and sunrise.

Don't be shocked Robbbs. Air is very dry and it's a great night for rad cooling. These late sunsets keep temps high for longer than we are used to but the temp still plummets under ideal conditions. I hit 31.8 this morning and was surprised and we are under a freeze warning tonight also. But this is likely the last freeze for most of us.
Monmouth county NJ

#3
robbbs

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View Posticehater, on Apr 16 2008, 12:54 AM, said:

Don't be shocked Robbbs. Air is very dry and it's a great night for rad cooling. These late sunsets keep temps high for longer than we are used to but the temp still plummets under ideal conditions. I hit 31.8 this morning and was surprised and we are under a freeze warning tonight also. But this is likely the last freeze for most of us.

Ice, I hear you. However, I still don't think my area will go as low as the mid 20's by morning.
West Milford NJ

#4
snowfreak188

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im at 40 or 39 i was at 41 when i came home and that was about 20minutes ago!
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#5
icehater

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View Postrobbbs, on Apr 15 2008, 09:04 PM, said:

Ice, I hear you. However, I still don't think my area will go as low as the mid 20's by morning.

I misunderstood. I thought you were just doubting a freeze condition tonite. Mid 20's is indeed a stretch. The lower the temps go tonite the bigger the rocket launch tomorrow because the temps are going up very fast after sunrise.
Monmouth county NJ

#6
Stormchaser

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I think you'll reach the mid/upper 20s fairly easily. Once winds decouple, temps will drop like a rock.

I was 50.2 only an hour ago and am now down to 37.1.

#7
robbbs

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View PostStormchaser, on Apr 16 2008, 02:43 AM, said:

I think you'll reach the mid/upper 20s fairly easily. Once winds decouple, temps will drop like a rock.

I was 50.2 only an hour ago and am now down to 37.1.

Storm -- not going to happen, at least for me. I'm at 44 at 11:00 pm.
West Milford NJ

#8
snowfreak188

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i have basically stopped at 38.8-39.1
New York Giants!

10-11 total snowfall-58.0"

09-10 total snowfall-55.5"

08-09 total snowfall-43.3"

1st flakes of 11-12 winter-October 29th(coating)
1st flakes of 10-11 winter-November 8th(no accum)
1st flakes of 09-10 winter December 5th(no accum)

#9
LongIslandWthr

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Had a low of 30.1
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Brookhaven, Long Island

#10
robbbs

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As I suspected, my minimum got no lower than 36.8, well above the mid 20's forecasted for here. However, temps in many areas of NJ, even south NJ, were well into the 20's. Radiational cooling favored spots did quite well.
West Milford NJ

#11
lab94

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Robbs, had a low of 27.9 here.
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#12
NittanyLion

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Down to 23.9 degrees up here last night, and 34.2 now. Headed for 60 today!
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#13
robbbs

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View Postlab94, on Apr 16 2008, 01:09 PM, said:

Robbs, had a low of 27.9 here.

Lab, That's almost 10 degrees colder than my low. My elevation cuts off radiational cooling big time. However, I get even during precip events when I'd want the cold temps the most. :thumbsup:
West Milford NJ

#14
rgwp96

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View Postlab94, on Apr 16 2008, 08:09 AM, said:

Robbs, had a low of 27.9 here.
low here was 30.2, I would rather have it 50.2
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#15
LocalOnthe8s

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26 down here

#16
lab94

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View Postrobbbs, on Apr 16 2008, 05:21 PM, said:

Lab, That's almost 10 degrees colder than my low. My elevation cuts off radiational cooling big time. However, I get even during precip events when I'd want the cold temps the most. :shifty:

Thanks for reminding me :puppeh:
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Lab's Radar


Elevation 784'

11-12 SNOWFALL TO DATE 20.5"
09-10 Snowfall- 73.60" .....10-11 snowfall - 61.5"
07-08 snow total 39.45".. ...08-09 snowfall- 42.71"

#17
icehater

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View Postlab94, on Apr 16 2008, 10:10 PM, said:

Thanks for reminding me :puppeh:

Lab - you want to take care of him or should I send some of my people over.
Monmouth county NJ

#18
hens13

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View PostLocalOnthe8s, on Apr 16 2008, 09:57 PM, said:

26 down here

:puppeh: :shifty: A low of 43 for me, your in southern NEW Jersey right?
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#19
Stormchaser

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View Posthens13, on Apr 16 2008, 10:38 PM, said:

:puppeh: :shifty: A low of 43 for me, your in southern NEW Jersey right?


He's probably in the Pine Barrens or on the outskirts of them -- south Jersey can equal or sometimes surpass the radiational cooling of NW NJ and certainly the urbanized area of NYC.

My low was 30 last night, cooler than most of the state. I'm usually 10+ degrees colder than NYC on calm nights.

Currently 38.1 after a high of 65.1 this afternoon.

#20
hens13

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Man, thats sucks, your precip is warmer and spring temps are a lot colder. I guess thats what being near the water does. I always considered myself along the coast, comparing to Putnam, Rockland, Ulster, etc.
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