30 replies to this topic

[robbbs]

Coastal low is slightly further east. Hope is that it forms faster and further east to shut off the upper air warmth. All this precip right now is only over-running related. South Jersey / Delaware precip has already stopped. The coastal has yet to even form. We have a long way to go yet.

[monmouthcoweather]

robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

[njblizzard]

18z NAM at 24hrs and 0z NAM at 18hrs

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[snowfreak188]

that is a def ice storm even for the coast!!!

[forte408]

yea looks like ice all the way to the imediate coast...plain rain will be a non factor i think

[robbbs]

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robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

monmouthcoweather, thanks but I'm sure I'll go to sleet soon. NAM still paints the coastal developing too close to the coast. The 850 line will be west of me later overnight and until late morning tomorrow. If it's right, mucho ice for many and then snows on the backend. Central PA and northeast from there look to be the sweet spot for snow. There's always the GFS run. LOL.

[Virgaman]

finally starting to snow and 14.7 degrees up here

robbbs any new snow predictions, i guess we could kiss that earlier prediction of 15 inches goodbye eh?

[snowfreak188]

robbs u have a private message!!!!

[emfd346]

damn that low is close to the coast, would be great if it was like 50-100 miles more east

[robbbs]

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finally starting to snow and 14.7 degrees up here

robbbs any new snow predictions, i guess we could kiss that earlier prediction of 15 inches goodbye eh?

Vic, look at the precip on the NAM on the left side of the 850 line. Man -- they get hammered in eastern PA (western NJ?). Line is right on your doorstep. If the run is right, we still get heavy snows on top of the snow/sleet/ice frozen mass. Still going to be one heck of a winter storm. Still, another 50 miles further east and oh man.

[icehater]

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robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

monmouthcoweather, thanks but I'm sure I'll go to sleet soon. NAM still paints the coastal developing too close to the coast. The 850 line will be west of me later overnight and until late morning tomorrow. If it's right, mucho ice for many and then snows on the backend. Central PA and northeast from there look to be the sweet spot for snow. There's always the GFS run. LOL.

Robbbs - 13 degrees and you can't buy a snowstorm! Amazing.  Watch us get wet snow and 32 next week. As I said - I'd kill to have thees temps in a snowstorm. I'm now at 20.3. If that coastal would bomb and track NE we'd go from a sleet/freezing rain situation to a raging blizzard. I hope this shows everyone that it's all about TRACK. Remember that elevation 10-15" snowstorm you got with 32-34 degree temps a few years ago. No cold air but great track. Now we have arctic air and no track.

[njblizzard]

Models can make slight error on the track right? Well, i hope they did. If lows shifts 50 miles more east and everybody in NJ is under snow.

[JerseyTony]

19 degress and freezing rain wow

[robbbs]

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robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

monmouthcoweather, thanks but I'm sure I'll go to sleet soon. NAM still paints the coastal developing too close to the coast. The 850 line will be west of me later overnight and until late morning tomorrow. If it's right, mucho ice for many and then snows on the backend. Central PA and northeast from there look to be the sweet spot for snow. There's always the GFS run. LOL.

Robbbs - 13 degrees and you can't buy a snowstorm! Amazing.  Watch us get wet snow and 32 next week. As I said - I'd kill to have thees temps in a snowstorm. I'm now at 20.3. If that coastal would bomb and track NE we'd go from a sleet/freezing rain situation to a raging blizzard. I hope this shows everyone that it's all about TRACK. Remember that elevation 10-15" snowstorm you got with 32-34 degree temps a few years ago. No cold air but great track. Now we have arctic air and no track.

Ice, it's 11.9 now and snowing but it's just a matter of time before the change-over. Nick Stefano just called me -- he has a temp of 9 in Wantage with snow but thinks it's starting to mix (at 9 DEGREES). Sick.

[icehater]

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robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

monmouthcoweather, thanks but I'm sure I'll go to sleet soon. NAM still paints the coastal developing too close to the coast. The 850 line will be west of me later overnight and until late morning tomorrow. If it's right, mucho ice for many and then snows on the backend. Central PA and northeast from there look to be the sweet spot for snow. There's always the GFS run. LOL.

Robbbs - 13 degrees and you can't buy a snowstorm! Amazing.  Watch us get wet snow and 32 next week. As I said - I'd kill to have thees temps in a snowstorm. I'm now at 20.3. If that coastal would bomb and track NE we'd go from a sleet/freezing rain situation to a raging blizzard. I hope this shows everyone that it's all about TRACK. Remember that elevation 10-15" snowstorm you got with 32-34 degree temps a few years ago. No cold air but great track. Now we have arctic air and no track.

Ice, it's 11.9 now and snowing but it's just a matter of time before the change-over. Nick Stefano just called me -- he has a temp of 9 in Wantage with snow but thinks it's starting to mix (at 9 DEGREES). Sick.

Robbbs - did you see my earlier post. In the great Quebec ice storm they had freezing rain with single digit temps. On a national Geographic show I saw they noted 9 degrees with rain in Montreal during that storm. But there was also freezing rain well NW of Montreal. I'll bet there were some places with rain at 5 degrees. Weather can be amazing.

[rgwp96]

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robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

monmouthcoweather, thanks but I'm sure I'll go to sleet soon. NAM still paints the coastal developing too close to the coast. The 850 line will be west of me later overnight and until late morning tomorrow. If it's right, mucho ice for many and then snows on the backend. Central PA and northeast from there look to be the sweet spot for snow. There's always the GFS run. LOL.

14.5 here robbbs with light snow with some sleet, maybe an inch.  Not worth measuring

Robbbs - 13 degrees and you can't buy a snowstorm! Amazing.  Watch us get wet snow and 32 next week. As I said - I'd kill to have thees temps in a snowstorm. I'm now at 20.3. If that coastal would bomb and track NE we'd go from a sleet/freezing rain situation to a raging blizzard. I hope this shows everyone that it's all about TRACK. Remember that elevation 10-15" snowstorm you got with 32-34 degree temps a few years ago. No cold air but great track. Now we have arctic air and no track.

Ice, it's 11.9 now and snowing but it's just a matter of time before the change-over. Nick Stefano just called me -- he has a temp of 9 in Wantage with snow but thinks it's starting to mix (at 9 DEGREES). Sick.

[robbbs]

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robbs i hope you and the other nw nj/ny posters get a nice amt of snow. most likely just some ice in monmouth, but i think you guys will get some nice snows.

monmouthcoweather, thanks but I'm sure I'll go to sleet soon. NAM still paints the coastal developing too close to the coast. The 850 line will be west of me later overnight and until late morning tomorrow. If it's right, mucho ice for many and then snows on the backend. Central PA and northeast from there look to be the sweet spot for snow. There's always the GFS run. LOL.

Robbbs - 13 degrees and you can't buy a snowstorm! Amazing.  Watch us get wet snow and 32 next week. As I said - I'd kill to have thees temps in a snowstorm. I'm now at 20.3. If that coastal would bomb and track NE we'd go from a sleet/freezing rain situation to a raging blizzard. I hope this shows everyone that it's all about TRACK. Remember that elevation 10-15" snowstorm you got with 32-34 degree temps a few years ago. No cold air but great track. Now we have arctic air and no track.

Ice, it's 11.9 now and snowing but it's just a matter of time before the change-over. Nick Stefano just called me -- he has a temp of 9 in Wantage with snow but thinks it's starting to mix (at 9 DEGREES). Sick.

Robbbs - did you see my earlier post. In the great Quebec ice storm they had freezing rain with single digit temps. On a national Geographic show I saw they noted 9 degrees with rain in Montreal during that storm. But there was also freezing rain well NW of Montreal. I'll bet there were some places with rain at 5 degrees. Weather can be amazing.

Now I know why those damn Canadians are such good skaters.

[bm55]

.robbbs, u talked about that 850 line with virgaman,saying it was at his doorstep.
how close am i to that line here in harriman. can i kiss that 12in. +  forecast goodbye? thanks

[djny2882]

Ice or Robbs,

When will the second low take over.  Is it going to be sleet through out the durationg of the night here in Northern Ocean county, or will it change to just rain.

[Stormchaser]

No rain on the 00z NAM from inland Monmouth northward. NYC's highest temp is 31, PHL and TTN never make it past 30 degrees. Will post soundings in a minute. Ice fest for all.