43 replies to this topic

[Kelli013]

In the process of getting my house painted, they pressure washed yesterday, and primed today. The plan was to paint on Saturday, after inspectiing the job so far we're on hold, painting could maybe resume Monday if they fix our concerns. My husband said the weather then will ----, he says rain, any input would be appreciated.

[icehater]

Kelli013, on Jul 11 2008, 10:25 PM, said:

In the process of getting my house painted, they pressure washed yesterday, and primed today. The plan was to paint on Saturday, after inspectiing the job so far we're on hold, painting could maybe resume Monday if they fix our concerns. My husband said the weather then will ----, he says rain, any input would be appreciated.

Kelli - you can forget a rainy day in this pattern. It ain't happening. Mondays a frontal passage day so there's a threat of a T-storm at some point. But if you notice our fronts have not held up well at all and I am in a drought here. We've actually entered that very warm to hot and much drier period that I thought we had a chance to get into. Next week looks like a dry hot week with most days ranging fro 88-93 degrees. Monday's about the only chance of a T-storm. I am also having the siding of my house repainted and adding a lot of trim. They started today after a day of scaffold building. I think I picked the best 8 day period of the summer so far to do this. there's very little chance of rain next week and Monday is your typical hit or miss frontal showers/storms

[robbbs]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 03:54 AM, said:

Kelli - you can forget a rainy day in this pattern. It ain't happening. Mondays a frontal passage day so there's a threat of a T-storm at some point. But if you notice our fronts have not held up well at all and I am in a drought here. We've actually entered that very warm to hot and much drier period that I thought we had a chance to get into. Next week looks like a dry hot week with most days ranging fro 88-93 degrees. Monday's about the only chance of a T-storm. I am also having the siding of my house repainted and adding a lot of trim. They started today after a day of scaffold building. I think I picked the best 8 day period of the summer so far to do this. there's very little chance of rain next week and Monday is your typical hit or miss frontal showers/storms

Ice -- Monday's frontal passage may have some precip enhancement from a coastal low. If I was betting on one summer front to have more widespread rain than the others, this might be the one. After Monday, we should have a string of great days.

[icehater]

robbbs, on Jul 11 2008, 11:11 PM, said:

Ice -- Monday's frontal passage may have some precip enhancement from a coastal low. If I was betting on one summer front to have more widespread rain than the others, this might be the one. After Monday, we should have a string of great days.

Robbbs,

I see the LP but I doubt it ever gets to us. I also worry that it moves offshore or falls apart late and it hurts the front's moisture field. If we miss on Monday we are going to end up having a 2 week drought IMBY and in most of central NJ it may be pushing 3 weeks. I've had about 30-45 minutes of rain since June 14th! The active pattern has died and we are going to be baked by a SE ridge next week.

[robbbs]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 04:19 AM, said:

Robbbs,

I see the LP but I doubt it ever gets to us. I also worry that it moves offshore or falls apart late and it hurts the front's moisture field. If we miss on Monday we are going to end up having a 2 week drought IMBY and in most of central NJ it may be pushing 3 weeks. I've had about 30-45 minutes of rain since June 14th! The active pattern has died and we are going to be baked by a SE ridge next week.

Ice -- I hear you on the mini-drought. The last few days I had to start watering the Leyland Cypress trees I planted in the spring as my luck in thunderstorm rains has ended.

[weatherbowl]

I missed most of the active pattern, and now you say it's going away. Looks like I may go from dry to more dry.

[Stormchaser]

icehater, on Jul 11 2008, 11:19 PM, said:

Robbbs,

I see the LP but I doubt it ever gets to us. I also worry that it moves offshore or falls apart late and it hurts the front's moisture field. If we miss on Monday we are going to end up having a 2 week drought IMBY and in most of central NJ it may be pushing 3 weeks. I've had about 30-45 minutes of rain since June 14th! The active pattern has died and we are going to be baked by a SE ridge next week.

Ice, good call on the drier pattern unfolding. Temps have been fairly close to normal so far July but precip chances have dwindled quite a bit. Usually with a weakening nina - neutral ENSO summer pattern, one tends to see an above normal amount of rainfall in the Northeast. So although the next week we look dry, I think it's a good bet that a wetter pattern resumes later July or August (sprinklers will be doing a lot of work if it doesn't return). In other news you continue to beat me with your 90F+ days, as I'm still stuck at 6. Hopefully I'll be able to increase that number by at least 3-4 thru next week.

[icehater]

Stormchaser, on Jul 11 2008, 11:57 PM, said:

Ice, good call on the drier pattern unfolding. Temps have been fairly close to normal so far July but precip chances have dwindled quite a bit. Usually with a weakening nina - neutral ENSO summer pattern, one tends to see an above normal amount of rainfall in the Northeast. So although the next week we look dry, I think it's a good bet that a wetter pattern resumes later July or August (sprinklers will be doing a lot of work if it doesn't return). In other news you continue to beat me with your 90F+ days, as I'm still stuck at 6. Hopefully I'll be able to increase that number by at least 3-4 thru next week.

Storm,

I never thought the active pattern would die completely. I just thought we had a shot at a 1-2 week pause in it. But active doesn't mean everyone gets wet anyway. So some folks have now gone 3 straight weeks without measuable rain. The brief storm last Saturday saved me from being dry for almost 3 weeks though I had at least half a dozen drenching storms miss me by half a mile to 5 miles.

[Kelli013]

Thanks guys.

[icehater]

Someone must have given the GFS some data on the Monmouth County shield! If we really catch this hole we're dead because next week looks dry and very warm to hot into next weekend. In fact I have a feeling next week temps are underdone. I'm starting to think mid 90's by Wednesday/Thursday into the weekend - at least here in central NJ. This is turning out to be a great summer for pool lovers like me.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_slp_060l.gif

[weatherbowl]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 11:48 AM, said:

Someone must have given the GFS some data on the Monmouth County shield! If we really catch this hole we're dead because next week looks dry and very warm to hot into next weekend. In fact I have a feeling next week temps are underdone. I'm starting to think mid 90's by Wednesday/Thursday into the weekend - at least here in central NJ. This is turning out to be a great summer for pool lovers like me.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_slp_060l.gif

I guess I better water my front lawn a lot more, if I don't the grass might break when it gets walked on.

[robbbs]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 04:48 PM, said:

Someone must have given the GFS some data on the Monmouth County shield! If we really catch this hole we're dead because next week looks dry and very warm to hot into next weekend. In fact I have a feeling next week temps are underdone. I'm starting to think mid 90's by Wednesday/Thursday into the weekend - at least here in central NJ. This is turning out to be a great summer for pool lovers like me.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_slp_060l.gif

Richmond gets 6" of snow while we sit under blue skies and arctic air. Just had a "flashback into the future".

[icehater]

weatherbowl, on Jul 12 2008, 11:57 AM, said:

I guess I better water my front lawn a lot more, if I don't the grass might break when it gets walked on.

I'm watering 40 minutes a zone right now and you have to do it late night or wee hours for the soil to hold that water. If you water daytime it's almost useless. Luckily I have only 5 zones - down from 8 in the times before I had the pool.

[icehater]

robbbs, on Jul 12 2008, 12:05 PM, said:

Richmond gets 6" of snow while we sit under blue skies and arctic air. Just had a "flashback into the future".

Do you remember the winter where we were frozen and dry and that area had 55" of snow. Newport News was the snow capital of the east that winter and had a pair of 18" storms.

[weatherbowl]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 12:09 PM, said:

Do you remember the winter where we were frozen and dry and that area had 55" of snow. Newport News was the snow capital of the east that winter and had a pair of 18" storms.

Sounds like the winter from hell.

[Stormchaser]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 12:09 PM, said:

Do you remember the winter where we were frozen and dry and that area had 55" of snow. Newport News was the snow capital of the east that winter and had a pair of 18" storms.

Could be 1976-77. Bitter cold all across the East but storm track ran from the eastern carolinas up through New England. End result -- about 28" for the year in central NJ and over 100" in suburbia west of Boston.

2004-05 had a 12-15" snow in Williamsburg VA in late December, but I don't think that's the winter you're referring to.

[lab94]

robbbs, on Jul 12 2008, 12:05 PM, said:

Richmond gets 6" of snow while we sit under blue skies and arctic air. Just had a "flashback into the future".

Gee thanks for the great news.LOL

[lab94]

icehater, on Jul 12 2008, 12:07 PM, said:

I'm watering 40 minutes a zone right now and you have to do it late night or wee hours for the soil to hold that water. If you water daytime it's almost useless. Luckily I have only 5 zones - down from 8 in the times before I had the pool.

I uped it from 30min to 40 min 2 weeks ago. I only have 6 zones. I have it go on around 4:30 am

[GameOfLove]

The first 2 1/2 weeks of June was extremely wet and very active with many strong and severe thunderstorms, since then it has been mostly dry here. Had some really small showers here and there, but haven't had a strong thunderstorms like early June.

[icehater]

Stormchaser, on Jul 12 2008, 12:18 PM, said:

Could be 1976-77. Bitter cold all across the East but storm track ran from the eastern carolinas up through New England. End result -- about 28" for the year in central NJ and over 100" in suburbia west of Boston.

2004-05 had a 12-15" snow in Williamsburg VA in late December, but I don't think that's the winter you're referring to.

I think it was 1979/80 or 80/81. It wasn't 76/77. I remember well that areas in and around Newport News had as much as 55" of snow and two powerful storms buried that area with 18-20" of snow each. They called Newport News the snow capital of the east that winter.