21 replies to this topic

[robbbs]

Still shows decent amount of precip after the 850 line is down to the coast. Supports heavy back end snows later. Good news but should we trust it?

[listarz]

I say yes. Why not? Blind squirrels looking for nuts! LOL

[Weathermom]

What do you think robbbs should we? is there any support for this

[Pstar3182]

NAM kicked his in the nuts all week......I wouldn't.

[rgwp96]

I dont trust any model (lol)  they had as as 2 inches of qpf and alot of north jersey isnt even close to an inch yet

[icehater]

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I dont trust any model (lol)  they had as as 2 inches of qpf and alot of north jersey isnt even close to an inch yet

I was thinking the same thing. The models look like they are busting big time on QPF. But they nailed that 850MB line - that's for sure.

[robbbs]

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I dont trust any model (lol)  they had as as 2 inches of qpf and alot of north jersey isnt even close to an inch yet

Rgwp96, I was thinking the same thing on precip. I don't know how reliable my heated rain guage is with sleet but I've only picked up 0.44" liquid so far if it's correct. BTW, have 3" of sneet on the ground.

[icehater]

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I dont trust any model (lol)  they had as as 2 inches of qpf and alot of north jersey isnt even close to an inch yet

Rgwp96, I was thinking the same thing on precip. I don't know how reliable my heated rain guage is with sleet but I've only picked up 0.44" liquid so far if it's correct. BTW, have 3" of sneet on the ground.

Robbbs - I have 2.5" of ground sleet . But who knows I might have measured a drift. One thing for sure - you can't use the clearing the boards method with sleet.

Boy that sleet really compacted your snow last night.

[rgwp96]

heres a total precip map. robbbs,

[Stormchaser]

My anemometer is no longer active as it's frozen solid. Temp is now 26.1 degrees.

[Stormchaser]

I'm going to post some pics as it's amazing out there. An ice wonderland. Trees bending over like crazy, encased in a layer of ice. According to VP2 I've had .40" of QPF thus far.

[njblizzard]

This would be nice if it can verifies...

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[rcambeis]

I cant wait to see the pics stormchaser....I am only a few miles away from you and there isnt much of a coating on the trees as it has been mostly sleet and not much liquid....

[robbbs]

My optimism is growing. The 12Z NAM was a good run for backlash snows and radar has shown a marked improvement. Also looks like a change-over to snow is wrapping around in the southwest on radar. We may still get those white-outs later. Plenty of precip to go IF the NAM is correct.

[Monmouth Snow]

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I cant wait to see the pics stormchaser....I am only a few miles away from you and there isnt much of a coating on the trees as it has been mostly sleet and not much liquid....

I'm with you--nothing sticking on the trees--mostly sleet.

[Stormchaser]

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I cant wait to see the pics stormchaser....I am only a few miles away from you and there isnt much of a coating on the trees as it has been mostly sleet and not much liquid....

That's what I've been hearing. Driving conditions not as dangerous up towards Middletown as the precip is sleet. It's like driving on an ice skating rink in my area.

[Beetlejuice]

Robbbs, you are the king of hope and optimism. I'm glad you're posting on this board. Even a few inches in the boros would be great. We all need to chant:  NAM...NAM...NAM...NAM

[weathergeek87]

Wow guys! Heavy sleet here now! Looks like a monsoon of ice here! Everything is white and temps are way low..25.4 and not moving @ all.

Street completely ice covered. No rain here that's for sure.

[longisland516]

I'm with the NAM...looks like the rain is having a hard time pushing through long island...

[Stormchaser]

NAM-WRF blows the GFS and other models out of the water yet again. GFS had progged 40 degree sfc temps up to central NJ by this time! Not. It's mid 20's and an ice storm. NAM had this icing pegged from a few days out. Now let's see if it nails the backlash.