He even mentions not wanted to jinx himself, but now with The Euro showing a GFS Solution he thinks the Models are just all over the place. He thinks it ends up sliding right up the Coast. I don't hate on Henry all the time sometimes he makes sense and I like what he has to say here and it's not just SNOW. Check it out.
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
#1
Posted 26 November 2008 - 11:54 PM
Glen Cove, Long Island
#2
Posted 26 November 2008 - 11:59 PM
Mrsnow88, on Nov 27 2008, 05:54 AM, said:
He even mentions not wanted to jinx himself, but now with The Euro showing a GFS Solution he thinks the Models are just all over the place. He thinks it ends up sliding right up the Coast. I don't hate on Henry all the time sometimes he makes sense and I like what he has to say here and it's not just SNOW. Check it out.
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
The 00z gfs does position the low on the coast, but even with that placement it shows that it's too warm for snow around here.
West Milford NJ
#3
Posted 27 November 2008 - 09:34 AM
Mrsnow88, on Nov 26 2008, 11:54 PM, said:
He even mentions not wanted to jinx himself, but now with The Euro showing a GFS Solution he thinks the Models are just all over the place. He thinks it ends up sliding right up the Coast. I don't hate on Henry all the time sometimes he makes sense and I like what he has to say here and it's not just SNOW. Check it out.
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
Sorry but this guy is a clown and Weenie ! newsmaker hypster at it's, Accuweather at it's best.
This storm would have to take a track 300 miles or more offshore and even at that it would not be a snowstorm for PHL/NYC areas.
There's no real cold air or High Pressure to the North or NW and the ocean temps are in the mid to upper 40's. No real strong U/L dynamics or cold air aloft to really deepen the storm.
At best:
The storm slides east northeast and off the SE coast and continues out to sea. We are on the northern fringe of the system and light precip shield would be the best case senerio, The NAM is somewhat showing this solution the best now.
A cold rain possibly mixed with IP or wet snow at the beginning and end of the storm. Best case senerio is a very light accumulation.
Forecaster: John Ruggiano
AKA: Ruggie
Ruggie Weather Blog and Site:
2008-2009 Snow Events:
Nov 17,18,22, 2008: Trace /Flurries
Nov 20, 2008: 0.1" / Snow Showers
Nov 21, 2008: 0.5" / Lt.Snow
Dec 06, 2008: 0.4" / Lt.Snow
Jan 15, 2009: 0.3" / Snow Shower
Jan 27, 2009: 2.1" / Snow
Feb 03, 2009: 7.6" / Mod-Hvy Snow
Mar 02, 2009: 9.5" / Mod-Hvy Snow
Total so far: 20.5"
AKA: Ruggie
Ruggie Weather Blog and Site:
2008-2009 Snow Events:
Nov 17,18,22, 2008: Trace /Flurries
Nov 20, 2008: 0.1" / Snow Showers
Nov 21, 2008: 0.5" / Lt.Snow
Dec 06, 2008: 0.4" / Lt.Snow
Jan 15, 2009: 0.3" / Snow Shower
Jan 27, 2009: 2.1" / Snow
Feb 03, 2009: 7.6" / Mod-Hvy Snow
Mar 02, 2009: 9.5" / Mod-Hvy Snow
Total so far: 20.5"
#4
Posted 27 November 2008 - 09:53 AM
We always tell him Henry is not the one who you want to believe, but he always makes threads about henry...
NWS Skywarn Spotter
Brookhaven, Long Island
Brookhaven, Long Island
#5
Posted 27 November 2008 - 12:45 PM
Mrsnow88, on Nov 26 2008, 11:54 PM, said:
He even mentions not wanted to jinx himself, but now with The Euro showing a GFS Solution he thinks the Models are just all over the place. He thinks it ends up sliding right up the Coast. I don't hate on Henry all the time sometimes he makes sense and I like what he has to say here and it's not just SNOW. Check it out.
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
http://www.accuweather.com/mt-news-blogs.a...e_snowstorm.asp
Following Henry is hopeless. You might as well walk off a cliff. The Sunday night/Monday pattern is a losing proposition, even if you get a perfectly positioned storm, and this storm will not be perfectly positioned anyway. Let it go. Rain is a given and 45-50 are the likely temps as the storm hugs the coast or goes a bit west of us.
BTW - when did Henry ever make sense on a ratio that is better than 1:10?
Monmouth county NJ
#6
Posted 27 November 2008 - 12:51 PM
icehater, on Nov 27 2008, 12:45 PM, said:
Following Henry is hopeless. You might as well walk off a cliff. The Sunday night/Monday pattern is a losing proposition, even if you get a perfectly positioned storm, and this storm will not be perfectly positioned anyway. Let it go. Rain is a given and 45-50 are the likely temps as the storm hugs the coast or goes a bit west of us.
Strongly agree. The name of the game is rain and its the pattern to blame.
But the pattern reverses by 12/5 with rapidly building heights across the top of the globe - I don't care what the GFS says, we're going into a good pattern post Dec 5th. It's not a matter of IF, but WHEN. And the latter should occur sometime early December IMO.
#7
Posted 27 November 2008 - 01:02 PM
LongIslandWthr, on Nov 27 2008, 09:53 AM, said:
We always tell him Henry is not the one who you want to believe, but he always makes threads about henry...
First of all I don't believe Henry. 2nd of all I clearly stated that it is his GUT FEELING WITH THIS STORM.........DISCLAIMER: I know Henry is a Hypster just figured I'd post up and get some response's from some smart Weather people which I did..
Glen Cove, Long Island
#8
Posted 27 November 2008 - 01:04 PM
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