Which model did best with this storm. I know the EURO picked it up first, but wasnt the NAM the first to show a more westerly track? Just curious.
#1
Posted 14 February 2007 - 07:44 PM
#2
Posted 14 February 2007 - 07:53 PM
#3
Posted 14 February 2007 - 07:54 PM
I believe it was the NAM that had the easterly track (along with JMA & GGEM) and the GFS was right about the westerly track..
Flushing, NY
Lyndon State College Class of 2011 -- Lyndonville, Vermont -- Broadcast News Major -- Meteorology Minor
Trained Skywarn Spotter
Lyndon State College Class of 2011 -- Lyndonville, Vermont -- Broadcast News Major -- Meteorology Minor
Trained Skywarn Spotter
#4
Posted 14 February 2007 - 07:56 PM
Quote
if im not mistaken,i think the nam nailed this storm
I'd agree but there were many aspects the Nam missed as well. The Nam did have the 850MB freezing line north of Poughkeepsie and even almost to Albany and as far west as near State College and it had that on many runs. It nailed that sucker almnost perfectly.
Monmouth county NJ
#5
Posted 14 February 2007 - 08:50 PM
so we should start believing in the nam on the next storm then
#6
Posted 14 February 2007 - 08:51 PM
Really though the nam got it at the last second. Most models did bad for this storm.
#7
Posted 14 February 2007 - 09:30 PM
NAM did have the warmer and more west track
Mike
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"
Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"
The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.
NWS Meteorologist
South Burlington, VT
Elevation: 332 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 37.7"
Jonesville, VT
Elevation: 323 ft
Snowfall 2011-2012: 59.5"
The views expressed in this post are solely mine and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Weather Service.
#8
Posted 14 February 2007 - 10:00 PM
Yea, I seem to recall the NAM lagging behind the EURO on the storm in general (early stages). But then when the NAM picked it up, it was the first to buy into the more westerly track. And the NAM picked up on the westerly track very early...even when the EURO was still buying into a blizzard for the coast. So that's two storms in a row for the NAM. Maybe the way to go is to focus on what the EURO says early on, then pay attention to the NAM!
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