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Feb 2nd/3rd


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#1
BRINGONTHEBIGONE

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Heard this morning on the 4:30 am ch 7, Bill Evans mentioned possible big storm on the 3rd..not sue if anyone has seen anything yet this far out?
Rutherford / Belleville NJ

#2
snowshoe

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Lets get past this one first
Location: Wantage NJ (Libertyville section) (Northwest Sussex County)
Total snow for 2011-2012 season: 24 inches
Total snow for 2010-2011 season: 50.8 inches
Total snow for 2009-2010 season: 69.5 inches
Total snow for 2008-2009 season: 42.6 inches
Total snow for 2007-2008 season: 52.3 inches
Average 60 Inches

#3
LongIslandWthr

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View PostBRINGONTHEBIGONE, on Jan 28 2009, 06:51 AM, said:

Heard this morning on the 4:30 am ch 7, Bill Evans mentioned possible big storm on the 3rd..not sue if anyone has seen anything yet this far out?

This storm looked great 7 days out, and look how it turned out
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#4
Stormchaser

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Looks like a driving rainstorm now. Maybe we'll have a reverse scenario and trend more favorable as we get closer, although that seems physically and morally impossible this winter.

#5
winterbird04

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View PostBRINGONTHEBIGONE, on Jan 28 2009, 06:51 AM, said:

Heard this morning on the 4:30 am ch 7, Bill Evans mentioned possible big storm on the 3rd..not sue if anyone has seen anything yet this far out?


Temps look to be to warm might want to get out the umbrella.
Go EAGLES, PHILLIES AND FLYERS


(Hackettstown NJ Warren co.)

#6
Stormchaser

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View Postwinterbird04, on Jan 28 2009, 07:48 AM, said:

Temps look to be to warm might want to get out the umbrella.


The set-up prior to the storm blows dead rats. Surface temps in the 40s.


Only way we get significant snow out of this one is if the low bombs sub 990mb about 200 miles SE of us.

#7
BRINGONTHEBIGONE

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View PostStormchaser, on Jan 28 2009, 08:53 AM, said:

The set-up prior to the storm blows dead rats. Surface temps in the 40s.


Only way we get significant snow out of this one is if the low bombs sub 990mb about 200 miles SE of us.
Storm hoping it does go SE....I have a funny feeling we might see something here..and hopefully it's white.
Rutherford / Belleville NJ

#8
robbbs

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Miller A storm next week. First one in years that I remember. Track has to be right but one to watch.
West Milford NJ

#9
GameOfLove

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As of today looks like a rain storm even here in the Hudson Valley. NWS has temps in the upper 30s to near 40. I'm sure things will change about a million times though.
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#10
RUGGIE WEATHER

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View PostStormchaser, on Jan 28 2009, 07:53 AM, said:

The set-up prior to the storm blows dead rats. Surface temps in the 40s.


Only way we get significant snow out of this one is if the low bombs sub 990mb about 200 miles SE of us.

Bingo !

I agree 100%
The cold air supply really isn't there with this storm. No doubt the storm track would have to be min 150 to 200 miles to our SE, and yes a deepening bomb offshore. Anyhting different, then it's mostly if not all rain, and 40 degrees.

Figures we get a Miller A setup and no real cold air around. But maybe It'll change, plenty of time for adjustments and changes.
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2008-2009 Snow Events:
Nov 17,18,22, 2008: Trace /Flurries
Nov 20, 2008: 0.1" / Snow Showers
Nov 21, 2008: 0.5" / Lt.Snow
Dec 06, 2008: 0.4" / Lt.Snow
Jan 15, 2009: 0.3" / Snow Shower
Jan 27, 2009: 2.1" / Snow

Feb 03, 2009: 7.6" / Mod-Hvy Snow
Mar 02, 2009: 9.5" / Mod-Hvy Snow

Total so far: 20.5"

#11
wntrstrmwrng

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View PostBRINGONTHEBIGONE, on Jan 28 2009, 06:51 AM, said:

Heard this morning on the 4:30 am ch 7, Bill Evans mentioned possible big storm on the 3rd..not sue if anyone has seen anything yet this far out?

Odd that Bill would put this out there this far out and after hearing what the models are showing -- quite surprising...

What is he basing this on? He is normally fairly conservative and careful with what he says and how he says it. I just read his blog and he makes no mention of it...
Monroe, NJ (Middlesex County)

#12
Mike_The_Golfer

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Models will probably trend SE the next few days, get our hopes up....and then go back NW in the last two days.
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#13
BRINGONTHEBIGONE

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View Postwntrstrmwrng, on Jan 28 2009, 11:36 AM, said:

Odd that Bill would put this out there this far out and after hearing what the models are showing -- quite surprising...

What is he basing this on? He is normally fairly conservative and careful with what he says and how he says it. I just read his blog and he makes no mention of it...

He mentioned it to one of the co-anchors, Lori? because she loves big snow storms, it was a QUICK mention, but as for us being snow lovers "it was mentioned"...lol
Rutherford / Belleville NJ

#14
winterbird04

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View PostStormchaser, on Jan 28 2009, 07:53 AM, said:

The set-up prior to the storm blows dead rats. Surface temps in the 40s.


Only way we get significant snow out of this one is if the low bombs sub 990mb about 200 miles SE of us.


OK this is one of the better quotes i have read. "Blows dead rats" had a good luaugh with that.
Go EAGLES, PHILLIES AND FLYERS


(Hackettstown NJ Warren co.)

#15
winterbird04

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View Postwinterbird04, on Jan 28 2009, 10:53 AM, said:

OK this is one of the better quotes i have read. "Blows dead rats" had a good luaugh with that.


correction laugh i think ;)
Go EAGLES, PHILLIES AND FLYERS


(Hackettstown NJ Warren co.)

#16
wntrstrmwrng

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View PostMike_The_Golfer, on Jan 28 2009, 10:37 AM, said:

Models will probably trend SE the next few days, get our hopes up....and then go back NW in the last two days.

Well, outside of blowing dead rats - this gives us something else to keep our eye on ;)
Monroe, NJ (Middlesex County)

#17
forte408

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Henry discusses this storm in today's update. Says "Big Daddy" storm next week, and it will be weaker than shown and further east. The kiss of death.

#18
benfica356

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12z gfs shows rainstorm like 6z however this system is gonna be intriguing. first miller A in a long time.

#19
lab94

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from the 12z gfs. and if this keeps thins SE and colder than it should................ Might be sunny and 60. LOL


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#20
jfio93

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maybe it will go in our favor now but it is way 2 early
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