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Hurricane Bill


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#1
Hurricaneff

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This will definatly change,but it is nice to see the first gfs northeast hurricane of the season.Gfs in future runs will probably have this as an out to sea,Fl hit,NC hit,carribean to gulf storm,and probably once or twice the storm wont be there.

So here is our first fanatsy hurricane.Save it because it probably wont be there on next run

Posted Image

#2
WeatherWarrior

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Yea, pretty fun stuff. This is the exact reason why Tropical Systems are so interesting. However, the thread this should go into can be found here....

Hurricane Season Thread
DAVON

#3
jjvesnow

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That storm has actually been there for a couple days now.

#4
icehater

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The GFS has already had this storm in Florida and New Orleans in the past few runs. Pick a dart and throw it at the wall and let's see where it lands next.
Monmouth county NJ

#5
jjvesnow

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It is fantasy land, but fun to look at.

#6
benfica356

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06z GFS
Posted Image

#7
benfica356

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12z GFS
Posted Image

#8
jjvesnow

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Very consistent in the +300 hr range

#9
snowfreak188

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it we be cool to get a strong cat1 around here id think.
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#10
weathergeek87

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Ahh, GFS fantasy runs.
Burns you in winter and summer! Let the burning begin.
Haha. I agree, fun to look at.
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#11
metfan4life

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View Postsnowfreak188, on Aug 10 2009, 03:38 PM, said:

it we be cool to get a strong cat1 around here id think.

It would be cool. :blink:
LETS GO METS

#12
metfan4life

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It is a miss on the 18z GFS. LOL

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_pcp_312l.gif
LETS GO METS

#13
icehater

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View Postjjvesnow, on Aug 10 2009, 01:53 PM, said:

Very consistent in the +300 hr range

Not really. This storm was originally a South Texas/northern Mexico hit for two runs, then New Orleans area, then Florida, then us for 2 runs , then NC and inland to NW Pa. and now this.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_slp_288l.gif
Monmouth county NJ

#14
jjvesnow

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View Posticehater, on Aug 11 2009, 02:29 AM, said:

Not really. This storm was originally a South Texas/northern Mexico hit for two runs, then New Orleans area, then Florida, then us for 2 runs , then NC and inland to NW Pa. and now this.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_slp_288l.gif


I only mean that it has had a STORM now for a couple days. Thats what i found interesting.

#15
jfio93

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View Postjjvesnow, on Aug 10 2009, 10:19 PM, said:

I only mean that it has had a STORM now for a couple days. Thats what i found interesting.
thats cool but i learned my lesson in the winter u cant trust this until 1 day out and even then itll break ur heart
ive been to the pearly gates they sent me back the good die young i aint eligible for that".- 50 cent
i hate a liar more then a i hate a thief, a thief is only after my salary a liar is after my reality- 50 cent
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1/2- 1/31- 4 inches
2/10- 14 inch
2/16-3 inches
2/25-2/26-21 inches

total-52 inches

#16
Hurricaneff

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06z GFS has a a donna like track(except a bit more inland north of NC).Has it crossing the keys,the hits the west coast of florida,cross Florida into the Atlantic then hitS NC and rides the coast just inland.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...en_m_loop.shtml

#17
jjvesnow

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View Postjfio93, on Aug 11 2009, 03:40 AM, said:

thats cool but i learned my lesson in the winter u cant trust this until 1 day out and even then itll break ur heart


Yes, i know. I have been around long enough to know that. I just think it is fun to watch the model runs, and to see how they all pan out.

The summer is boring to me until the POSSIBILITY of a hurricane in the north east pops up.

#18
jfio93

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View PostHurricaneff, on Aug 10 2009, 08:10 AM, said:

This will definatly change,but it is nice to see the first gfs northeast hurricane of the season.Gfs in future runs will probably have this as an out to sea,Fl hit,NC hit,carribean to gulf storm,and probably once or twice the storm wont be there.

So here is our first fanatsy hurricane.Save it because it probably wont be there on next run

Posted Image
i have a question is this cat 1 on the current run or just a strong tropical storm
ive been to the pearly gates they sent me back the good die young i aint eligible for that".- 50 cent
i hate a liar more then a i hate a thief, a thief is only after my salary a liar is after my reality- 50 cent
09-10 Winter Stats

12-19/12-20-8 inches
1/2- 1/31- 4 inches
2/10- 14 inch
2/16-3 inches
2/25-2/26-21 inches

total-52 inches

#19
WeatherWarrior

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This storm is an east coast threat which appears to be the model consensus. Before truncation is what I am looking at. It will be interesting to see when the NHC declares this wave an invest.
DAVON

#20
icehater

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588MB thickness at the center of circulation! Man is that warm core and shows why there's almost never lightning near the center of a hurricane despite a wide 45-50,000 foot cloudtop at the center of stronger storms.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/an...fs_slp_276l.gif
Monmouth county NJ





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