There's plenty of lingering low clouds across the area this morning, but they will break allowing for a sunny afternoon. Temperatures will be pleasantly mild, reaching close to 50 in the afternoon hours.

A clipper system will approach the region for tomorrow. Southwest winds will pick up ahead of the system, becoming gusty by the afternoon hours (some gusts may be in the 30-35 mph range). These winds will also allow temperatures to surge into the 40s tomorrow ahead of the clipper. The clipper will track across upstate NY into southern New England by the end of the day. Most of the precipitation will be north of the low pressure area, so any precipitation across our viewing area will be just showery, mainly from the late-morning into the afternoon.

With temperatures warm enough, we'll have mostly rain showers in the NYC area, but far northern suburbs in Orange and Putnam counties cold have some wet snowflakes mixed in with the rain, especially towards the end of the storm. We probably won't see very much rainfall from this storm, generally under .10 of an inch in the city (although northern suburbs and eatern Long Island could see a little more). It will remain windy into tomorrow as the cold air advection sets in.

Behind the storm, it'll continue to be windy as a colder airmass will work into the region. This will keep temperatures colder in the 30s for Friday and Saturday, although high pressure should allow for a good deal of sunshine both days.

By Sunday, clouds will beging to increase as the next storm approaches. This storm will be a big weather maker across the Plains late this week, with lots of severe thunderstorms and some wind driven snow on the backseide of it. By the time it gets to us, it'll be occluded, but should have a solid band of rain ahead of the front. The timing of this storm is still difficult to determine, but it appears at this point we'll get our rain from this on Sunday night. Northern suburbs could have enough cold air at the surface to have some ice from this, but it seems like it'll probably be rain in the city. By Monday, rain will end in the morning hours leaving a mostly cloudy sky for the rest of the day. We'll fine tune the details with this storm as we get towards the end of the week.

Bill Evans

Active weather pattern for the next 2 weeks holds many chances for some kind of winter storm event. Sooner or later, chances are that at least one will pan out. Then again, the way this winter has gone....

robbbs i think there is lots of underplaying on the high up in canada and maybe there will be cold air daming.

I have been talking to my buddy jim witt and great met, he feels a big snowstorm between march 8th to 11th and wintry up to march 15th before the pattern breaks.

I think winter is going to go out with a bang, also we alway have our spring show here at the store during that time and always get bad weather during it, so i think it will happen lol

i was amazed even with all the warm weather yesterday very little melted must be the hard icepak

The way this winter has been, a 6" snowfall (all snow no sleet) would be going out with a bang.LOL ;D

LOL lab94 your asking for the impossible buddy lololol :D

Come on, its not like I am asking for a foot or two. ;)

I'm hoping NYC can collect at least 10". 

I was just emailing Nick Stefano and he said the lowest amount of snow he's ever had for a full winter up in Wantage was 19.3" in the winter of 94-95.  He moved up there in the early 80's.  We seem to be well on our way to breaking that record.  The good news?  After the winter of 94-95, came the winter of 95-96 :)

My money is on a deeper amount of polen on the ground at the end of April then snowfall at ant point this year. LOL

But Satellite -- The question remains -- Was the 4 winters before 93-94 (89-93) way above avg or was this winter (06-07) just something that was bound to happen out of a good streak of 4 winters above 40"?

I don't remember anything that stands out so most likely those winters were normal at best.

THE WINTER of 1991-92 sucked

1992-93 was a good winter

1993-94 was a good winter

1994-95 was pathetic

1995-96 was snowlovers heaven

Next winter cant possibly be this bad, i mean record breaker latest seeing snow as january 17th, that cant possibly happen again next winter.

We have had a few stinkers in a row recently so it could happen again next year.

96-97 through 98-99 were pretty lame.  I don't think NYC reached 30" in those 3 years combined, or if so, just by the skin of its teeth.  Hopefully, we're not on a streak like that again.

Virga, that was surely the kiss of death    ;D

Looks like Sunday night IS colder right now.

The slower timing of the system ejecting out of the Plains will allow for a good deal of sunshine Saturday, a bit chilly, and then increasing clouds Sunday. Boundary layer temperatures east of the mountains, coupled with low dewpoints, have raised red flags for sleet and freezing rain potential late Sunday into Sunday night away from the immediate shore and the coastal plain.

With a triple point passing south of the region, a sharp warm up will be precluded Sunday and Sunday night. But with a large dry slot working into the region Monday morning with the WSW flow, temps should spike up somewhat with the drying.

Bill Evans

Dev -- we were on a 4 yr GOOD streak in terms of decent snowfall so one would imagine we're due for a couple crummy winters but who knows really, these things don't necessarily follow a certain pattern..All I know is I would like to see a few more snow events in our area before we begin tracking the t-storms.

LOL! Bill-- nice phrase you used on your weather forecast at 12, "Sunday will be a rather naughty day"

True.  The weather certianly doesn't follow any sort of pattern from year to year.  You can't boil it down to, "OK, last winter we had a lot of snow, so we're not getting anything this year" or vice versa.  That's what makes the hobby so exciting.

last year wasnt really a great winter.  We had a good storm at the end and that is overshadowing what was a pretty lame winter in and of itself.