NWS Upton
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR
TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED...MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.




...MID-SOUTH TO THE MID-ATLANTIC...
DISORGANIZED BANDS OF LARGELY ELEVATED TSTMS WILL BE ONGOING ALONG/N
OF A SEWD MOVING CDFNT/CONVECTIVE-INDUCED OUTFLOWS OVER A BROAD ZONE
FROM THE MID-ATLC REGION SWWD TO THE MID-SOUTH AT 12Z FRIDAY. MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE TO BE TRANSPORTED EWD S OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES THROUGH FRIDAY. COMBINED WITH AMPLE
HEATING...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY SHOULD EXIST FOR NEW TSTMS TO
FORM/INTENSIFY ALONG SRN FRINGES OF MORNING CONVECTION. MORE
ORGANIZED STORMS WILL LIKELY FAVOR KY NEWD INTO THE MID-ATLC REGION
AHEAD OF WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCD WITH THE GRTLKS TROUGH.
BUT...OTHER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AMIDST COMPARATIVELY STRONGER
INSTABILITY FARTHER W ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH/TN VLY TOO.

THE ENTIRE REGION WILL RESIDE ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF 40-45 KTS OF
WSW MID-LVL FLOW RESULTING IN MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE KINEMATIC
PROFILES TO SUPPORT BRIEF SUPERCELLS. BUT...MORE THAN
LIKELY...WSW-ENE ORIENTED BANDS OF STORMS WITH EMBEDDED BOWS WILL
GIVE DMGG WIND GUSTS/HAIL. A DECREASE IN SVR THREAT IS EXPECTED
DURING THE EVENING.

..RACY/ROGERS.. 05/14/2010

some storms are in central PA and they are RACING eastward

Looks like most, if not all, of those storms will miss our area to the north. Unless new cells pop up, much of our area will remain rain-free today with widely scattered storms.

Wow even the possibility of large hail in SVR STRMS.
We had hail here in Lyndonville during a strong thunderstorm last week.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BGM...11&loop=yes

Anyone north of I-80 looks to get a quick hit of rain, maybe some embedded thunder and lightning.
Anyone around I-84 area looks to get slammed with this band that's RACING to the East.

Looks like a Sussex/Pike/Sullivan special..

There's no lightning registering in any of those cells right now. That's all warm front showers and down here in central NJ we're already into SW winds, probably headed for 80-85 today. Doesn't look like enough humidity builds for the CF later so we may end up going dry, as Robbbs noted, in a lot of the area today.

Robbs. a small hook forming on the southern end. That may get us in the next 15 min.

According to family in Queens, absolutely pouring right now at my house in Flushing. Radar shows some orange and red echos over Northern Queens.

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast...&rainsnow=0

Very heavy rain reported here. Nothing more, just a downpour with this cell. Should end very soon. Looks like some places did not go dry as predicted previously.

I just received a big downpour!

Not too impressed with today, best instability and dynamics look south. Maybe south of Trenton has a shot.

Temp has reached 82 here. Pool has responded to two sunny days and temp has risen to 64. Once it gets to 65-66 I need less than a day to get it into the 83-84 range if weather looks good.

I still have ice on my pool HAHAHHHHHA just joking , but the cover is still on

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
538 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN BERKS COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
SOUTHERN LEHIGH COUNTY IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF ALLENTOWN...
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT
* AT 534 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
CLAUSSVILLE...OR 14 MILES WEST OF ALLENTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ANCIENT OAKS BY 550 PM EDT...
ALLENTOWN BY 555 PM EDT...
EMMAUS...ZIONSVILLE AND ALLENTOWN BY 600 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM EDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND AND NEW JERSEY
AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

http://www.weather.com/outlook/health/alle...=true&role=

Nasty-looking near Bethlehem.

My buddy in Spring Township, PA reported marble size hail. Hailed for about 2 minutes, he said.

Looks like some major storms heading into Central Jersey from PA right now.

Severe T-storm warning here. Looks like mainpart of the initial cell goes just south of me and then second one comes in and nails here. Sky is in perfect match with radar presentation. Mainly cloud to cloud lightning and vivid so far and very dark just south of me. NW of me its bright but you can see the dark sky coming in behind thatin the 2nd cell. Overall a strange looking sky.

Crazy cloud to cloud lightning just to the West of me. No rain or anything yet, but the sky just to the west looks very creepy with the lightning streaking across the clouds.

That area of strong thunderstorms within that line seems to be quickly weakening as it heads east though.

First cell fell apart. Second cell will hit me briefly but main effect will be south of here. Forte if it holds together it will hit you hard. Lot of cloud lightning, some quite intense.

Someone around here should see a phenomenal rainbow. Intense rain passing just south of me (looks like both cells miss or the second cell barely nails me with the sun out) while bright sun is now out in the far NW sky. Large and beautiful thunderhead east of me (that was the first cell). Overall the cells just collapsed to the south. Should be a good hit on Wall to Belmar along I-195. Gonna be a nothing event here.

That cell is sitting over my house..intense lightning and sheets of rain right now...haven't seen anything like this in a while..shutting the computer down as a precaution.

Only got a brief shower here. One cell missed to the north and one missed to the south.

Incredible lightning just to the south of me. Took a ride to the beach a few miles south into the Spring Lake/Manasquan area and it was awesome down there. Not a ton of rain, or at least not for a very long period of time, but the lightning was non-stop.

As suspected and posted this morning, today was 99.9% rain-free and a mostly sunny day for most of our region. Had a grand total of 0.05" of rain here in a five minute shower this morning.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
851 PM EDT FRI MAY 14 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0546 PM HAIL ALLENTOWN 40.59N 75.48W
05/14/2010 E1.75 INCH LEHIGH PA TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN WEST ALLENTOWN.

0550 PM HAIL ALLENTOWN 40.59N 75.48W
05/14/2010 E1.00 INCH LEHIGH PA TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN ALLENTOWN

0555 PM HAIL ALLENTOWN 40.59N 75.48W
05/14/2010 M1.75 INCH LEHIGH PA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL AS LARGE AS GOLF BALLS IN THE ALLENTOWN AREA, ALSO A
FEW TREES DOWN IN LEHIGH COUNTY.

0555 PM TSTM WND GST ALLENTOWN 40.59N 75.48W
05/14/2010 E60.00 MPH LEHIGH PA PUBLIC

A FEW TREES DOWN

0557 PM FUNNEL CLOUD EMMAUS 40.54N 75.50W
05/14/2010 LEHIGH PA TRAINED SPOTTER

A COUPLE OF FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTINGS IN LEHIGH COUNTY

0628 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N FRICKS 40.35N 75.25W
05/14/2010 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ON WIRES IN HILLTOWN TOWNSHIP.

0655 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE BLAKE 39.71N 75.90W
05/14/2010 CECIL MD EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY.

0714 PM HAIL NEWARK 39.68N 75.76W
05/14/2010 M0.75 INCH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

A COUPLE OF REPORTS OF PENNY SIZE HAIL IN NEWARK.

0715 PM HAIL NEWARK 39.68N 75.76W
05/14/2010 E0.75 INCH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL IN NEWARK.

0717 PM HAIL BEAR 39.62N 75.68W
05/14/2010 E1.00 INCH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN BEAR.

0720 PM HAIL BEAR 39.62N 75.68W
05/14/2010 M0.75 INCH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

0735 PM HAIL DELAWARE CITY 39.58N 75.60W
05/14/2010 M0.88 INCH NEW CASTLE DE TRAINED SPOTTER

0758 PM TSTM WND GST 7 E TOMS RIVER 39.95N 74.05W
05/14/2010 M50.00 MPH ANZ451 NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

50 MPH GUST IN SEASIDE HEIGHTS.

0805 PM HAIL BRIDGETON 39.43N 75.23W
05/14/2010 M1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

0808 PM HAIL 2 NE GREENWICH 39.41N 75.31W
05/14/2010 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN HOPWELL TWP.

0812 PM HAIL BRIDGETON 39.43N 75.23W
05/14/2010 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN BRIDGETON

0813 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 WSW JACKSON 40.04N 74.45W
05/14/2010 OCEAN NJ LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD IN NEW EGYPT.

0815 PM HAIL BRICKERVILLE 40.06N 74.11W
05/14/2010 E1.00 INCH OCEAN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN BRICK TWP.

0828 PM HAIL 6 N MILLVILLE 39.48N 75.06W
05/14/2010 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH HAIL REPORTED IN VINELAND.

Went to dinner right after my last post just down the road from my house. We were seated with 4 friends at a window overlooking the south and you could see a moisture feeder band build in like a rising smoke column while the second cell stalled and intensified south of my area. Lightning area just got more and more intense with constant CTG bolts developing in its heart. The storms ended up doing nothing here but you could see 2 different cells back build into the area just south of me as the cells stalled and intensified. They actually grew back far enough NW to kill off the sun as we were driving the 2 miles west to the restaurant. Overall it was an absolutely awesome sky here around 8PM, with big thunderheads, an orange/yellow lighted sky from a setting sun in the northwest and a varityy of colors from pnk to orange across the sky to a greenish black in the heavy cell south of the area. The thuinderhead developing to the south looked enormous. I was thinking that far south Colts Neck into Wall and Forte's area were getting pounded.

I didn't have any exciting storms this evening. All I had was some thunder, lightning and rain.

Yeah Trenton and southward received the majority of the storms as expected:

My cousin in Jackson NJ had a nasty storm with many trees down.

I was in NC over the w/e and we had marble size hail Saturday afternoon. It was the biggest hail i've ever actually seen in my life.