QUOTE (Hurricaneff @ Jun 4 2010, 06:55 PM)

Compared to 27.8 years on average for long island
NYC will get hit again,it has in the past and will in the future.
When one does hit NYC,I hope im still alive for it to see what the people who say it will never happen have to say about it.
This is probably the most likely track that one will take.
WHEN this does happen it will be devastating!!!

That wouldn't be much of a hit fior NYC. It would be a rapidly weakening storm with NYC on the weak side of it. That would be a much bigger hit for the south shore of LI and let's face it very few storms take that track. Most canes in our area are headed NNE or NE as they get get caugt up in a SW steering flow ahead of a stalled or slow moving front. I would bet every hurricane that effected NYC was a lot worse for the Jersey shore or LI. Remember hurricanes as a whole, and especially this far north have a small localized area of severity from wind, and it's near or in the eyewall even in fierce cat 5's. Again just 25-30 miles west of Gloria's eyewall most of eastern NJ had a hard time getting wind gusts as strong as 30 mph. Forget sustained, those winds were 10-20mph at best until we got under the storm in sunshine. Then they hit 40-45 with gutss to 60 for about 2 hours.