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lab94
The 4th is coming with hot dry weather. Here is a 90 day map of rainfall vs normal



Click to view attachment

shark253
My forecast is calling for Sunny weather 6 days in a row. Wow, I have not seen my forecast like this in years. My next thunderstorm is hopefully by next Tuesday or Wednesday. Until then, SUN, SUN. SUN AND SUN.
FreezingDrizzle
About a half dozen years ago, we had no rain here from May until August.

Anyone remember when that drought summer was?
bm55
QUOTE (FreezingDrizzle @ Jun 29 2010, 08:21 PM) *
About a half dozen years ago, we had no rain here from May until August.

Anyone remember when that drought summer was?

I believe it was 2005, from mid-April thru September, then the drought was broken by a deluge of rain in October. I got 20" of rain in one week, and there wasn't really flooding issues because of the water table so low.
FreezingDrizzle
QUOTE (bm55 @ Jun 29 2010, 08:46 PM) *
I believe it was 2005, from April thru September, then the drought was broken by a deluge of rain in October. I got 20" of rain in one week, and there wasn't really flooding issues because of the water table so low.



I believe that's it BM.

Interestingly, CPK data does not show low monthly rain totals for June and July that season. Maybe they got lucky with isolated thundershowers.

There's your October rain.

2005 4.67 3.04 4.89 4.81 1.48 3.21 3.56 3.96 0.48 16.73 4.47 4.60 Total:55.90
icehater
QUOTE (shark253 @ Jun 29 2010, 08:10 PM) *
My forecast is calling for Sunny weather 6 days in a row. Wow, I have not seen my forecast like this in years. My next thunderstorm is hopefully by next Tuesday or Wednesday. Until then, SUN, SUN. SUN AND SUN.


2005 was like that for 8-10 weeks with phenomenal heat at times. For much of that summer we couldn't buy clouds, let alone rain. In fact it was bone dry into September. October opened the floodgates with 10-20" rains in 3 days.
doncat
In 2005 I recorded normal rainfall for the June July period but well below for Aug and Sept. Rain for those two months totaled 1.28 in. Then came Oct with close to 14 in.
lab94
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
412 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-
067>071-301600-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0010.100630T1400Z-100701T0200Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
412 AM EDT WED JUN 30 2010

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EDT THIS EVENING
...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EDT
THIS EVENING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DIP INTO THE 20S FOR A GOOD
PORTION OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND WINDS COULD GUST OVER
20 MPH FOR SEVERAL HOURS ONCE AGAIN. WITH THE LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL
RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, 10 HOUR FUELS SHOULD BE QUITE LOW AS
WELL. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AND HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD
RISE AFTER SUNSET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.
weathergeek87
Yea the end of spring and summer thus far has been bone dry in my area..this weekend is going to be so beautiful I am trying not to hope it comes so fast because when it is gone, who knows if we see a weekend like this again!
weathergeek87
Yea the end of spring and summer thus far has been bone dry in my area..this weekend is going to be so beautiful I am trying not to hope it comes so fast because when it is gone, who knows if we see a weekend like this again!
lab94
shark253
Fire Worries indeed..very dry out there. Absolutely gorgeous weatherwise. Almost feels like autumn. My lows tonight are expected to be in the 50's. Heat and humidity is on the way though for the 4th July weekend with temps being in the 90s.
bm55
QUOTE (FreezingDrizzle @ Jun 29 2010, 10:24 PM) *
I believe that's it BM.

Interestingly, CPK data does not show low monthly rain totals for June and July that season. Maybe they got lucky with isolated thundershowers.

There's your October rain.

2005 4.67 3.04 4.89 4.81 1.48 3.21 3.56 3.96 0.48 16.73 4.47 4.60 Total:55.90

FreezingDrizzle, great data, probably so with those thundershowers in July and August.
dulaboy
when the hell is it going to rain ...
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