Hi Guys,

What do you think the Summer looks like in terms of temps??ß.....also how's the la Nina doing....is it looking weak to moderate or moderate to strong??

The NWS 90 day outlook for June, July, August indicates a better than 33% probability of above normal temps and normal precip for us. Their 90 day outlook for July, August, September shows a better than 40% probability of above normal temps and normal precip. I know their outlooks are a bit confusing because their starting point is equal chances above and below the norm. Suffice to say their outlook, if correct, is calling for a hot summer.

Wouldn't that mean that there is a 67% chance that it is below normal?

I think what they mean is there is a 33% chance above a 50-50 chance, if that makes sense. ???

That's correct. The NWS has taken a lot of criticism for their confusing outlook structure.

Robbs,

  Do you know if the NWS is factoring in a La Nina presence in this 90 day outlook?  I thought La Nina could play a role as far as seeing tropical storms or hurricanes on this part of the east coast?