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How about a up date, bad anough I had to leave Bill's board but I'm not familiar with this one yet and all I'm feeling is this storm is no more then 5 inches in NYC??? any thoughts....
Ok, quick update as I have to walk away from all this model madness. Where are we? -- models have all (ALL) trended north and closer to the coast with the new coastal. That brings in warming and the models are not kind to us, although inland still has a fair frozen precip event. Taken literally, the models show a moderate snow to rain event along the coast, NY metro, central NJ, and LI with snow amounts before a change impossible to predict. Inland, looks like snow to mix or rain, depending on how far inland. The wild card: the placement of the coastal low and high to the northeast is not bad. Snow forecasts could easily change (up or down) depending on the final exact track. Bottom line -- see later model runs. Frustrating part is that this went from a suppressed out to sea scenario, to a raging blizzard, to a snow to rain event in 24 to 36 hours of model runs. Not pretty.