Look at the radar echoes from off the Jersey coast and the increase in moisture back into NJ/NE PA. It looks like to me the low is forming off the NJ coast near LI and rapidly intensifying. Does any one have any pressure stats to back this up?

it looks liek its gonna start to develop out there soon just hopefully its more south then expected.

it also looks like on the wunderground radar the precip is moving NE now

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast...mp;avg_off=9999

Yes I see that. I dont think the low will form as far north as they are saying. Id like to get the offshore buey info to find out the barometric pressures in the Atlantic

There are no pressure falls in the Atlantic. It's too early. The low shouldn't start forming until later tonight:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SFCNE/sfcloop.html

ok thanks

I dont know, if you look at Intellicast's radar, you can see the back edge filling in nicely and the echoes becoming more enhanced. Look also at the mod. to heavy prcp in the Atlantic, this is not from the warm front IMO

Thank god, maybe more Frozen precip than expected.

I hope so, im at 19 deg with flurries in Hopewell Jct, NY (Dutchess Cty) About 1/4 inch on the ground

I heard talk about the Secondary Low forming off MD and not NJ.  Henry thinks it moves North and holds in the cold air in the Hudson Valley. No rain? Anything to that?

That is what my prior post was talking about. I think central NJ its forming, but it was supposed to form off of LI and CT coasts. Is Henry right about this? Storm, Robbs, any opinions??

sorry. i see the other one now. my bad.

It happens.  :(

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SFCUS/last.html

i think thats our low if it is its much further south!

That's what I'm hearing over at Tri State Weather, this would be some change. One of their Very Reliable Regulars is currently saying this.

im hearing that to but then this guy posted that it was an error

Right, but then it was re-corrected it's still there.

http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con_3pres.html...

yea i just saw that as well.

That map only shows pressure in the past 3 hours, not Low pacement.

That was all I could find right now. But they were talking about the placement being there as well, I"ll have to find the links.This could be a nice twist.

Or an ERROR in data.

the pressure is what you wanna look for to see were the low will form or be around

he said its back again the low off of virginia

Met Fan this would be good news.Nobody had it forming this south

The "L" was on 18z surface analysis chart. At 19z it wasn't there, although there is bump on the isobars off VA/NC. I don't know if the exact low placement was correct. But the pressure something maybe forming soon.

[img width=600 height=479]http://i226.photobucket.com/albums/dd114/Dolittle7/t-1.gif[/img]

thanks for the analysis

i was waiting to see if you were gonna post that here! i hope thats were it develops!

WOW: This would be some development.

hey guys, i am here in ct and we got about a dusting this morning, but nothing is going on, when can i here in ct, expect some more precip?
thank u

NWS has updated their forecast. They are saying the snow is done and the temps are going to rise. I guess no low.

The low shows up 20z again, very weak but there beginning to develop off Virgina coast:

[img width=600 height=479]http://i226.photobucket.com/albums/dd114/Dolittle7/t0.gif[/img]

What will it mean for precip in the nyc area if the low does form as far south as Virginia?  More snow?

its better that its more south rite?

i hope, is it better?? wee need more snow here~~

hey blizzard

good seeing you again, im in te town of poughkeepsie neart the overlook drive inn hheehee, yea we got ripped of seeing snow as the majority fell south of us, you have 19?  iam sitting at 21 , we could see some serious ice if we dont warm up fast.

almost seems like the warm air is coming from the west rather than the south this time.

Nothing. That's just the initial area of lowest pressure. The real storm forms off LI tonite. The other thing you have to remember is that it's where the storm takes circulation control away from the primary that matters NOT where the secondary forms. The secondary just adds on a lot of extra precip in a situation where the primary holds circulation control.

Ok, thanks Ice

so do you honestly think we will get somemore snow?

on the other boards,they said the low is forming south  of the jersey coast and said its earlier then the models progged,is this true or na